SI180: Data Versus Stories & The "Moscow Rules" ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Published: Feb. 20, 2022, 12:56 a.m.

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Mark Rzepczynski joins us today to discuss Trend Following versus Momentum strategies, the need to be humble about making economic forecasts, how Central Bank policies affect Trend Following performance, Cathie Wood and ARKK coming under pressure from the media, Trend Following on options, calculating a systems\\u2019 risk-to-stop, vetting new investors for their ability to handle risk, hard data versus stories, when to apply the \\u2018Moscow rules\\u2019.

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In this episode, we discuss:

  • How Trend Following differs to momentum
  • Avoiding the need to make predictions
  • The Federal Reserve and its effects on Trend Following strategies
  • ARKK\\u2019s media scrutiny following recent poor performance
  • The similarities between Trend Following and options
  • How to calculate \\u2018risk-to-stop\\u2019
  • Qualifying new investors before accepting them as clients
  • The \\u201cMoscow Rules"

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 \\u2013 Intro

02:02  \\u2013 Macro recap from Niels

04:39 \\u2013 Weekly review of performance

23:00 \\u2013 Q1 Zack: How should I calculate the risk-to-stop metric?

28:42 \\u2013 Q2 Peregrine: Vetting new investors for their ability to handle risk 

42:09 \\u2013 Q3 Graham: Can you detail some of the definitions of a breakout?

47:24 \\u2013 Trend Following versus Momentum

01:00:58 \\u2013 Molecules of prices

01:08:31 \\u2013 Data versus stories and when to apply the \\u2018Moscow...'