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In this first episode of 2020, we discuss whether there any investment strategies that can work during all times, the recent Barron’s article featuring Richard Thaler on the perils of overconfidence, how Trend Following helps to prevent being too confident, the inherent negativity bias within most investors, the drawbacks of  positivity when investing, and why you should consider the costs of being too cautious just as much as the costs of taking on too much risk.  Questions covered this week include: Are CTAs becoming too cautious?  Is it really worth diversifying away from developed markets? What causes you to make adjustments to your models? If any listeners would like to leave us a voicemail message to play on the show, you can do so here. Learn more about the free-to-use Top Traders Unplugged Trend Barometer here. You can download your free guide to Systematic Investing, and subscribe to our mailing list by visiting TopTradersUnplugged.com Get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here. Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com Follow Niels, Jerry & Moritz on Twitter: @TopTradersLive, @RJparkerjr09 and @MoritzSeibert And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast. Episode Summary 0:00 - Intro 1:09 - Macro recap from Niels 14:06 - Weekly review of returns 19:18  - Top tweets 49:01 - Question 1: Sam; Is it worth diversifying away from developed markets? 55:22 - Question 2: Edmund; Can you recommend any detailed backtesting software with the ability to test variable position sizes? 58:12 - Question 3: Drew; What causes you to make adjustments to your models? 1:06:14 - Question 4: Sebastian; Why is it so hard to be a successful Trend Follower, when it seems we as Humans innately like to follow trends anyway (ie. fashion, social media, tech)? 1:12:39 - Performance recap 1:14:16 - Send your questions in for our upcoming special guest, Andreas Clenow Subscribe on: