Decoding the polls – The difference the sample makes

Published: Aug. 5, 2020, 9:06 a.m.

President Trump’s approval rating rises with each level of engagement. Now why is this especially significant in the context of a Presidential reelection bid? Consider that on the exact date in his successful reelection bid President Obama held a 45% approval rating with likely voters and a 47% overall approval rating. That’s right, President Trump’s average approval rating is 1% higher among likely voters at this stage in the cycle as compared to his predecessor.