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I met Chuck Pettinger years ago and I have always liked and respected him.  He's a great guy - easy to like.  He is also a quantoid - sometimes not as easy to like (pun intended).  Chuck lives in the world of predictive data and he travels very comfortably through these ideas.  He makes data obtainable, interesting, and helpful.  You will have to be the judge on how understanding the linear world can help us predict failure in the non-linear world.  Either way, I think you will find this podcast interesting and valuable.  It helps that Dr. Chuck is such a great guy with whom to have a conversation.  Enjoy meeting somebody interesting, refreshing, and funny.  Here is Dr. Chuck.