Predictions for 2018

Published: Feb. 6, 2018, 1:24 p.m.

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At the beginning of every year, I\\xa0make predictions. At the end of every year, I\\xa0score them. So here are a hundred more for 2018.

Some changes this year: I\\u2019ve eliminated a bunch of predictions about things that are very unlikely where I just plug in the same number each year, like \\u201c99% chance of no coup in the US\\u201d. I\\u2019ve tried to have almost everything this year be new and genuinely uncertain. I\\u2019ve also included some very personal predictions about friends and gossip that I\\u2019m keeping secret for now \\u2013 I have them written down somewhere else and they\\u2019re for my own interest only.

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