BROADCASTS.com

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https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/08/2019-predictions-calibration-results/

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At the beginning of every year, I make predictions. At the end of every year, I score them (this year I\\u2019m very late). Here are\\xa02014,\\xa02015,\\xa02016,\\xa02017, and\\xa02018.

And here are the predictions I made for 2019. Strikethrough\\u2019d are false. Intact are true. Italicized are getting thrown out because I can\\u2019t decide if they\\u2019re true or not. All of these judgments were as of December 31 2019, not as of now.

Please don\\u2019t complain that 50% predictions don\\u2019t mean anything; I know this is true but there are some things I\\u2019m genuinely 50-50 unsure of. Some predictions are redacted because they involve my private life or the lives of people close to me. A few that started off redacted stopped being secret; I\\u2019ve put those in [brackets].