Re-Opening: Understanding Risk, NY state antibody testing, Italian data

Published: April 25, 2020, 3 a.m.

North Carolina
https://www.ncdhhs.gov/divisions/public-health/covid19/covid-19-nc-case-count#by-age
Age of Infected:
0-17:2%
18-24:7%
25-49:40%
50-64:28%50-infinity: 52%
65+:24%

Deaths:
\xa0Deaths by Age Group
\xa00-24\xa0 \xa0 0%
\xa025-29\xa0 4%
\xa050-64\xa0 11%
\xa065+\xa0 \xa0 \xa085%

\u2022Remember U.K. statistics: 2 or more co-morbidities is HIGH risk.
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Dr. John Campbell recap: 24 April 2020

N.Y. state antibody testing and Data out of Italy

N.Y state antibody testing
Link: https://www.dropbox.com/s/cd1628cau09288a/SARS-CoV-2_Serology_Manuscript.pdf

\u2022Randomized, 3000 people tested for antibodies to COVID-19
\u2022Grocery stores/ Shopping areas.
\u202219 counties, 40 localities.
\u202213.9% of tested were positive for the antibody.
\u202221% in N.Y. city, single digits in other areas.
\u2022Use this as an initial test to compare to upcoming data, need trends=more confidence.
\u2022CFR: 0.72%\xa0 \xa0 \xa0Deaths/ population NY state x 13.9%

Italy
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-decessi-italia

From a sample of 23188 lost souls to SARS_Cov2 (PCR tested)
Mean age: 79 y/o
Men: 63%\xa0 Women: 37%
Co-morbidities: 61% had 3+ co-morbidities, 21% had 2. (82% 2+)
Most common co-morbidities:\xa0
\u2022HTN: 69%
\u2022CAD, Afib, Hx CA last 5y, Kidney issues: 20% range
\u2022DM2: 30%
\u2022Obesity: 12%
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Re_Opening Plans:

\u2022Got to happen sometime
\u2022We know the high-risk demographic
\u2022The older with more co-morbidities
\u2022Hand washing, masks to protect high risk, distancing
\u2022Donning/Doffing