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In this first episode of 2020, we discuss whether there any investment strategies that can work during all times, the recent Barron\u2019s article featuring Richard Thaler on the perils of overconfidence, how Trend Following helps to prevent being too confident, the inherent negativity bias within most investors, the drawbacks of  positivity when investing, and why you should consider the costs of being too cautious just as much as the costs of taking on too much risk.  Questions covered this week include: Are CTAs becoming too cautious?  Is it really worth diversifying away from developed markets? What causes you to make adjustments to your models?

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 \u2013 Intro

01:09 \u2013 Macro recap from Niels

14:06 \u2013 Weekly review of performance

19:18  \u2013 Top tweets

49:01 \u2013 Question 1: Sam; Is it worth diversifying away from developed markets?

55:22 \u2013 Question 2: Edmund; Can you recommend any detailed backtesting software with the ability to test variable position sizes?

58:12 \u2013 Question 3: Drew; What causes you to make adjustments to your models?

01:06:14 \u2013 Question 4: Sebastian; Why is it so hard to be a successful Trend Follower, when it seems we as Humans innately like to follow trends anyway (ie. fashion, social media, tech)?

01:12:39 \u2013 Benchmark performance update

01:14:16 \u2013 Send your questions in for our upcoming special guest, Andreas Clenow

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