SI42: Are Stanley Druckenmiller and David Harding right about Trend Following? ft. Salem Abraham

Published: July 1, 2019, 6:08 p.m.

Today we\u2019re joined on the show by Salem Abraham, a legendary Trend Follower, and President of Abraham Trading Company based in Canadian, Texas.  We discuss if Bitcoin has any real value, how Jerry Parker influenced Salem early in his career (and how he was able to help Jerry), why we don\u2019t need to understand the reasons for a price going up, how looking at your returns too often can affect your performance, if Stanley Druckenmiller and David Harding are right about the effectiveness of Trend Following in today\u2019s markets, and how being exposed to a variety of markets can reduce risk in a portfolio.  Questions answered include: what is Salem\u2019s preferred timeframe to trade in?  Why is there such an increase in Return Dispersion among Trend Following funds today, compared to a while ago? What are Salem\u2019s thoughts on High-Frequency Trading, Electronic Trading, and Arbitrage?  Will Trend Following ever become too over-crowded?

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 \u2013 Intro

02:45 \u2013 Weekly review of Performance including Salem\u2019s thoughts

15:35 \u2013 Salem describes his background and discussion ensues

47:00 \u2013 Top tweets

01:09:30 \u2013 Question: What do you think about the markets being made up of more computers (vs humans)?

01:30:15 \u2013 Benchmark performance update

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