SI261: The Biggest Story in Asset Allocation ft. Nick Baltas

Published: Sept. 16, 2023, 7 a.m.

Today Nick Baltas and I embark on a journey through the shifting tides of investment strategy. For decades, equities have reigned supreme as the primary source of portfolio returns, while bonds played a crucial role as diversifiers. But over the past two decades, something intriguing has happened, and the dynamic between these two asset classes has evolved in ways we've never seen before. Stay tuned as we unravel the fascinating story of this transformation and explore what it means for modern investors. We also discuss what a leading Trend Follower describes as what really determins absolute returns in a trend following strategy...and you may be surprised of what it is.

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:07 - What has caught Nick's attention recently?

03:02 - Industry performance update

04:30 - Q1, Corey: If an investor is heavily weighed equities, are they better off with trend following providers that don't include equities as one of the utilized asset classes

10:31 - How model portfolios can benefit from trend following

19:02 - A Changing Stock-Bond Correlation (AQR Paper)

23:50 - How structural inflation can impact the stock-bond correlation

27:46 - Illiquid alternatives and commodities as diversifiers

35:27 - Significant shifts in the asset allocation space

38:14 - Is cash better than bonds?

41:40 - Paper from Transtrend

47:15 - What really drives the absolute return in a trend following...