SI138: The 'Holy Trinity' of Security Selection ft. Rob Carver

Published: May 3, 2021, 1:47 p.m.

We\u2019re joined today by Rob Carver to discuss the process of selecting single stocks for a Trend Following system, Rob\u2019s holy trinity of security selection, the JP Morgan-backed fund making huge bets, via options, on the market remaining quiet, the knock-on effects from funds who make large, risky bets, the sweet-spot for average holding periods in a Trend Following system, \u2018caveman-style\u2019 Trend Following versus scaling in and out of positions, how to hedge against inflation, how Trend Following historically has performed really well in rising interest-rate environments, and thoughts on Tesla\u2019s recent earnings, a lot of which were from government subsidies and selling bitcoin.

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In this episode, we discuss:

  • Which stocks to select for a profitable Trend Following system
  • Rob's 'Holy Trinity' for selecting securities
  • The ripple effects of large funds who make large and risky bets
  • The most profitable holding periods in Trend Following systems
  • 'Caveman-style' Trend Following
  • How to hedge against inflation
  • Trend Following's success in rising interest-rate environments
  • Tesla's recent earnings

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:36 - Macro recap from Niels

04:27 - Weekly review of returns

09:38 - Discussion on Tesla\u2019s recent earnings

25:13 - Q1; Matt via the Top Traders Unplugged free