GM56: Structural Shifts - A Threat to the Economy? ft. Frances Donald

Published: Feb. 7, 2024, 1 p.m.

Frances Donald, Chief Economist and Strategist at Manulife Investment Management, joins Alan Dunne to discuss how the drivers of the economy and inflation are undergoing a structural shift and what this means for the economic outlook. We hear why Frances expects a recession in the US economy in 2024 and why the risks to her forecasts are on the downside. Frances outlines where she currently sees tactical opportunities in fixed income markets and why she expects equity markets to face headwinds as investors start to see \u201cbad news as bad news\u201d this year. The conversations delves into the big shift underway in the global economy, becoming more supply driven than demand driven and the implications this will have for inflation, monetary policy and fiscal policy over the medium term. 

-----

EXCEPTIONAL RESOURCE: Find Out How to Build a Safer & Better Performing Portfolio using this FREE NEW Portfolio Builder Tool

-----


Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT\u2019s TRUE ? \u2013 most CIO\u2019s read 50+ books each year \u2013 get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book \u201cTen Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio\u201d here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Alan on Twitter.

Follow Frances on LinkedIn.

Episode TimeStamps:

02:39 - Introduction to Frances Donald

06:39 - What caused a pivot from the central banks?

13:10 - Why were they wrong about their forecast?

20:43 - Where are the weak spots?

23:58 - Does recession calls even matter?

27:34 - Frances' outlook for the economy

39:21 - Are we heading into a structural shift?

51:04 - Will things change in the next administration?

53:33 - Are fixed income markets becoming more investable?

59:35 - Advice for the...