I listened to Rod Carr yesterday, post the release of his Climate Commission's advice to the Government 2036-2040.\xa0
He is unfailingly polite. When it was put to him that the Government, who have launched their own inquiry into methane might be cutting across his work, he was having none of it, despite the fact that is exactly what the Government are doing.\xa0
Every time I have asked him whether he gets sick of Governments ignoring or amending what he advises, his answer is always the same. He says they are set up to give the best knowledge currently available and it's up to the Government of the day to do what they will with it.\xa0
It\u2019s a weird old business, mainly because I couldn\u2019t do a job where I knew what I was saying was going to get messed about with for political reasons or ignored.\xa0
Anyway, he made two critical points. The first is that if we miss our target, which we may well do, we can get there by buying our way out of it. Like the carbon credit market for business, we will simply purchase credits from someone else who has done better than us.\xa0
That's a big unknown as we speak because we don\u2019t know if we won't make it. We most likely won't, but how far short will we be and what it will cost to buy credits to solve the problem, and from who? But it will be billions.\xa0
The second and bigger point is there is no one to pay the penalty to. In other words, we signed an agreement but there is no head office and no one to write the cheque to.\xa0
All that happens is we are in breach of an international agreement. If a lot of other people are in breach, and my bet is they will be, then no one will care.\xa0
If we stand alone globally as the only country that didn\u2019t make it, then we are a pariah of sorts.\xa0
Rod made the point that we like international agreements because they are what makes the world go round, we sign a lot of them, and it allows us to do things like trade.\xa0
But it brings us back to a cold, hard reality. We can almost certainly state many countries won't make it; therefore, we won't save the world.\xa0
Should that be a reason for us not to try. I'd say no. I'd say let's do what we can.\xa0
But that\u2019s your next reality. The Commission advice is bordering now on nutty. No petrol cars to be imported is now a real policy.\xa0
A renewable energy base that we don\u2019t stand a hope in hell of achieving, given we can't build a thing in this country to budget or time and no one wants a wind farm in their backyard? That's not a real policy.\xa0
The advantage of this is as we draw closer to 2050 the advice will get weirder, and the outcomes will become clearer. In other words, they will be increasingly obvious as to how undoable they all are.\xa0
Then what? That\u2019s your next big question\xa0
And how alarmist do the ideologues become before their heads explode.\xa0
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.