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It\u2019s mid-April, and a reputable pollster is already declaring that the Senate race between Democratic Rep. Beto O\u2019Rourke and Republican Sen. Ted Cruz in Texas is \u201ctoo close to call,\u201d at 47 percent to 44 percent. It\u2019s Quinnipiac\u2019s first poll in Texas, and the first major poll of one of the most closely watched races in the country. It\u2019s also very hard to believe.