Erik Townsend welcomes Julian Brigden back to MacroVoices. Erik and Julian discuss the U.S. Dollars impact on the US shale bubble, the peak acceleration in ISM manufacturing and the risk that headline inflation is peaking. They further discuss if the Fed tightening is going to start to impact data. Julian also points out that the bond shorting opportunity is over and the subsequent risks to the reflationary trades. Also discussed are the wage trends in the U.S.,perspectives on European growth and inflation and the relative pricing between U.S. and European bunds.