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Our guest this week is Matt from http://www.plusevanalytics.com. He is a Canadian actuary who also dabbles in advantage play. We discuss Taleb's concept of anti-fragility and how that is very useful in sports betting. We also discuss how the Kelly Criterion comes up with different answers sometimes and how are we to know which is which? We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or https://www.facebook.com/GamblingWithAnEdge. podcast Click to listen - Alt click to download Show Notes [00:00]\xa0 Introduction of Matt from PlusEVAnalytics.com [00:50]\xa0 Show notes information and availability [02:36]\xa0 The best forum for site comments and feedback is at GamblingWithAnEdge.com [03:21]\xa0 Actuarial science as a profession [05:40]\xa0 Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Twitter.com/nntaleb [11:14]\xa0 NFL season totals and antifragility [15:45]\xa0 Dow Jones and antifragility [17:36]\xa0 PointsBet.com and distributional mathematics [24:46]\xa0 Super Bowl prop bets, Michael Shackleford, and market efficiency [30:35]\xa0 Sportsbook hold versus roulette hold, epistemic uncertainty and adverse selection [39:19]\xa0 South Point Casino October Promotions - 'Free Play with a Kicker' [39:59]\xa0\xa0Predictit.org/promo/edge\xa0- place small bets on various political outcomes, $20 deposit match for GWAE listeners [40:40]\xa0 BlackjackApprenticeship.com - card counting training site and community [41;02]\xa0\xa0VideoPoker.com/gwae\xa0- Gold Membership offers correction on most games [41:57]\xa0 Kelly Criterion [45:49]\xa0 Being both an actuary and a gambler [53:10]\xa0 How can listeners contact Matt? [56:03]\xa0 Recommended - Schitt's Creek on Netflix, Captain Jack Andrews on Youtube and Twitter Sponsored Links: SouthPointCasino.com Predictit.org/promo/edge BlackjackApprenticeship.com VideoPoker.com/gwae Guest Links: PlusEVAnalytics.com\xa0\xa0 Twitter.com/PlusEVAnalytics PlusEVAnalytics.wordpress.com/publications Recommended: Schitt's Creek, Netflix.com/title/80036165 Captain Jack Andrews, Youtube.com/CaptainJackAndrews/videos, Twitter.com/capjack2000
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