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Jyske Bank: Nste vinters naturgasforbrug br vre afdkket inden juni/juli - Energianalyse uge 11
Naturgas
Markedspsykologiske faktorer spiller ind i den seneste prisstigning, mens fundamentale drivkr\xe6fter giver forventning om et nyt salgspres mod \u20ac22. Tiden er nu inden til at indlede og afslutte n\xe6ste vinters risikoafd\xe6kning inden juni/juli.
DieselB\xe5de geopolitiske og mere traditionelle fundamentale faktorer taler for et h\xf8jt crack-sp\xe6nd, som igen bevirker stigende dieselpriser ind i 2025. Med et terminsmarked i backwardation er risikoafd\xe6kning meget attraktiv.
Brent r\xe5olieIsrael klar til at angribe Rafah og indikerer en snarlig beslutning om milit\xe6re angreb ind i Libanon. Geopolitiske risikopr\xe6mier er ikke toppet, og med en forl\xe6ngelse af Forward Guidance fra OPEC+ venter vi underskud af olie, tr\xe6k p\xe5 verdens olielagre, et terminsmarked i backwardation og stigende priser for Brent r\xe5olie.