Fantasy Baseball Live \u2013 November 26, 2023 @ 3 pm
Segment 1 - News and Notes
1.The Diamondbacks acquired Eugenio Suarez for RHP Carlos Vargas and Catcher Seby Zavala
a.Suarez brings a 30% K-Rate but has always hit for power. He had back-to-back 31 home run seasons, and then last year, he hit 22. In looking at the data, the exit velos are the same, the launch angle is the same, the K-Rate is the same, and the walk rate is the same. You got it\u2026everything is the same. He\u2019s dropped to the 24th third baseman off the board. If you think he can return to 30 home runs, does this give him some value here? Especially if you need power late in the draft.
b.Carlos Vargas has a great arm with a fastball that will touch triple-digits, but he has no idea where the ball is going. He\u2019s likely a bullpen arm. Seby Zavala came through the White Sox organization and strikes out too much. Not sure he\u2019s more than a backup catcher. Thoughts on both players?
2.The Cardinals sign two pitchers. Kyle Gibson and Lance Lynn. Both were okay last year with the Orioles and White Sox/Dodgers. Lynn\u2019s ADP is 353, and Gibson is 564. Any interest?
a.Does this move the needle for the Cardinals?
3.We both got excited about the trade that brought Brandon Shewmake to the White Sox. Maybe he would get a shot. What do the White Sox do? Sign Paul DeJong.
a.He has one of the worse baseballsavant pages I\u2019ve seen. 2% rank in exit velo. 15% in hard-hit rate, 5% in whiff, 10% in walks, 37th percentile in speed. It looks like he has good range at short with a poor arm.
b.He\u2019s only been drafted in four out of the 44 Drafts at the NFBC so far. Maybe that goes up?
c.This doesn\u2019t appear to be a profile of a Major League full-time regular. Maybe a utility player. What am I missing?
Segment 2 \u2013 Fantasy Questions of the NL West
1.Arizona Diamondbacks
a.Alek Thomas is currently living off his great defensive chops. Huge range in center field. He\u2019s also a plus runner, ranking in the 87th percentile. There is some solid exit velo, but he beats everything on the ground. He\u2019s the 80th outfielder off the board \u2013 a number-five outfielder. Is this a growth stock, or would you take a bet on someone else as your fifth outfielder?
b.What about Jake McCarthy? There\u2019s plus speed but no power. He also beats everything on the ground? Thoughts on McCarthy? Is he a guy you\u2019re interested in? His ADP is 490, or the 94th outfielder off the board?
i.Can you be a Championship level team with this level of power in centerfield and right?
c.Brandon Pfaadt looked great on the biggest stage, and his ADP climbed a little. He\u2019s still going as the 87th pitcher off the board \u2013 likely the 60th or so starter off the board. Is there value as your fifth pitcher?
i.Stat line: IP, wins, Ks, and ERA
d.The Diamondbacks won 84 games last season. Does the win total go up or down next season?
e.Give me a sleeper in the organization (Minor and/or Major)
2.Colorado Rockies
a.Nolan Jones went 20-20 with a .297 average. He\u2019s going as the 15th outfielder off the board \u2013 pick #58. How many teams of yours will he be on? We will look at other outfielders around the same area.
i.Notes: Jones had a .401 BABIP and struck out 30% of the time. There is serious pop with an exit velocity of 90 MPH with a max of 115. There\u2019s not a ton of launch.
b.Stat line of Ezequiel Tovar \u2013 HR, SB, RBI, and BA
c.Hunter Goodman (#624) or Brenton Doyle (#541)?
d.You have to hold your nose and pick a Rockies starter. Who\u2019s it going to be?
e.Give me a sleeper in the organization (Minor and/or Major)
3.Los Angeles Dodgers
a.Gavin Lux stat line: AB, HR, SB and BA
b.Are the Dodgers going to battle with Chris Taylor (#429), Gavin Lux, Michael Busch (#546), and Miguel Rojas (#726) hitting at the bottom of the order? We will discuss each (not Lux) and whether they are worth drafting.
c.Walker Buhler\u2019s stat line: IP, wins, K\u2019s, and ERA
d.Bobby Miller is going as the #36 pitcher off the board in early NFBC Drafts. That\u2019s a #2 starter when you factor in closers. Too high, too low, or just about right?
e.Give me a sleeper in the organization (Minor and/or Major)
4.San Diego Padres
a.Luis Campusano \u2013 AB, HR, RBI, and BA
b.Manny Machado is going as the #7 third baseman off the board. He\u2019s been passed by Gunnar Henderson and Royce Lewis. Solid value in the fifth round, or would you pass him over?
c.Yu Darvish had a tough season, pitching to a 4.56 ERA and ending the season on the IL after having bone spurs removed from his pitching elbow. He\u2019s fallen to the 15/16 round in 15-team drafts. Any interest?
d.2024 will mark AJ Preller\u2019s 10th year on the job. He went in big when he first arrived. He quickly sold off almost everyone he traded for when it didn't work. He then drafted and signed high-end Latin player for a few years in what looked like a rebuild. Then, he traded away those prospects for veterans while signing high-priced free agents (Hosmer, Machado, Xander, et. al). They\u2019ve made the playoffs twice and even got to the NLCS in 2022. However, he\u2019s spent a fortune and needs to sell off pieces so the Padres can make payroll. How has he kept his job?
e.Give me a sleeper in the organization (Minor and/or Major)
5.San Francisco Giants
a.Marco Luciano: Stat line for 2024 \u2013 AB, HR, RBI, and BA
b.Michael Conforto\u2019s bat speed has slowed. He used to light up statcast with his exit velos and hard-hit rates. Now, it\u2019s below average \u2013 in the 40s for both, with an average launch angle. He\u2019s not that old \u2013 he turns 31 in March. Could we see a bounce back in 2024, or is he just a 15- to 18-year-old home run guy with some OBP skills now?
c.Kyle Harrison: Stat line for 2024 \u2013 IP, wins, Ks, and ERA
d.Give me a sleeper in the organization (Minor and/or Major)
Close