BROADCASTS.com

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/most-technologies-arent-races

[Disclaimer: I\u2019m not an AI policy person, the people who are have thought about these scenarios in more depth, and if they disagree with this I\u2019ll link to their rebuttals]

Some people argue against delaying AI because it might make China (or someone else) \u201cwin\u201d the AI \u201crace\u201d.

But suppose AI is \u201conly\u201d a normal transformative technology, no more important than electricity, automobiles, or computers.

Who \u201cwon\u201d the electricity \u201crace\u201d? Maybe Thomas Edison, but that didn\u2019t cause Edison\u2019s descendants to rule the world as emperors, or make Menlo Park a second Rome. It didn\u2019t even especially advantage America. Edison personally got rich, the overall balance of power didn\u2019t change, and today all developed countries have electricity.