Highlights From The Comments On The Lab Leak Debate

Published: April 26, 2024, 10:29 a.m.

Original post here. Table of contents below. I want to especially highlight three things.

First, Saar wrote a response to my post (and to zoonosis arguments in general). I\u2019ve put a summary and some my responses at 1.11, but you can read the full post on the Rootclaim blog.

Second, I kind of made fun of Peter for giving some very extreme odds, and I mentioned they were sort of trolling, but he\u2019s convinced me they were 100% trolling. Many people held these poorly-done calculations against Peter, so I want to make it clear that\u2019s my fault for mis-presenting it. See 3.1 for more details.

Third, in my original post, I failed to mention that Peter also has a blog, including a post summing up his COVID origins argument.

Thanks to some people who want to remain anonymous for helping me with this post. Any remaining errors are my own.

1: Comments Arguing Against Zoonosis
\u2014 1.1: Is COVID different from other zoonoses?
\u2014 1.2: Were the raccoon-dogs wild-caught?
\u2014 1.3: 92 early cases
\u2014 1.4: COVID in Brazilian wastewater
\u2014 1.5 Biorealism\u2019s 16 arguments
\u2014 1.6: DrJayChou\u2019s 7 arguments
\u2014 1.7: How much should coverup worry us?
\u2014 1.8: Have Worobey and Pekar been debunked?
\u2014 1.9: Was there ascertainment bias in early cases
\u2014 1.10: Connor Reed / Gwern on cats
\u2014 1.11: Rootclaim\u2019s response to my post

2: Comments Arguing Against Lab Leak
\u2014 2.1: Is the pandemic starting near WIV reverse correlation?

3: Other Points That Came Up
\u2014 3.1: Apology to Peter re: extreme odds
\u2014 3.2: Tobias Schneider on Rootclaim\u2019s Syria Analysis
\u2014 3.3: Closing thoughts on Rootclaim

4: Summary And Updates

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-the-5d7\xa0