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Volatility Voicemail: Panels for advisors, volatility re: valuations, earnings, scanning tools, and more.
\\n\\xa0
\\n\\xa0
\\nCrystal Ball: FOMC, Q1 GDP, ISM and the employment report (plus earnings) - all in one week!
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2)\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0 Investors have overestimated future interest rates
\\n3)\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0 The random timing from the call or put being slightly ITM or OTM during more pronounced market moves
\\nIt\'s important to note that implied volatility should not explain a significant difference here. Both Calls and Put values are positively correlated with volatility. If you have a taxable account and your underlying holdings are targeted to be held at least 1 year, it would seem covered call would win out due to the stock and dividend being taxed at LT rates. Put premiums and bond interest are both taxed at ST rates. Commissions are a slight advantage to the PW strategy but in the world of online discount brokerages I would think this is insignificant. Thoughts?
\\nQuestion from: expertmagician:\\xa0I just found you! Just started using Volatility ETFs, and have never used futures or options. What is the best way to learn about various ways to hedge S&P or Russell using VIX ETFs? Great podcast! I would love to see an RVX ETF. Problem is with contango and contract roll exposure with ETFs. So, I am looking for a way to do this because I do not have the time to learn and actively trade futures or options.
\\n\\n\\nCrystal Ball: Outlook at VIX options, futures, RVX and other volatility products activity next week.
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Volatility Views 92: Zero Sum Game?
\\nVolatility Viewpoint: We shake it up a bit and discuss the biggest news of the week first, namely the New York Times article, "Growth in Options Trading Helps Brokers but not Small Investors."
\\nThe Crystal Ball: We discuss the future of Vol Views itself. A short summer hiatus will cover the rest of June, but we\'re hoping to be back in July with a new and improved format, more voices, new segments, but the same Vol Views you know and love.
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Volatility Views 91: Historical Lows
\\nVolatility Review: Realized volatility plummeted. NASDAQ sits at 12.06 and S&P is even lower at 10.01. Don and Mark Sebastian called it.
\\nListener Mail: We answer listener questions.
\\nThe Crystal Ball: Fading the short-term, buying the long-term. How long can VIX stay this low?
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Volatility Views 88: Reestablishing the Norm
Volatility Review: Vol has spiked in the last week, going nearly as high as during the Italian elections. CBOE computers go down. How does the inability to trade VIX affect the overall markets?
Listener Mail: Mark and Don will take your questions now.
The Crystal Ball: VIX should stay high for a while, but will not go above 14%. \\xa0
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Volatility Views 87: It All Comes Down to Timing
Volatility Review: The VIX shot up at the beginning of the week, but was selling off by the end of the week. There was a broad vol story happening this week, particularly in the commodities with gold vol spiking 500% over two weeks.\\xa0\\xa0
Volatility Viewpoint: Bob Krause discusses the RealVol\\xa0Index, available at VolX, which features nine daily indexes. Bob also talks about how a real-time value can be calculated from a daily value.\\xa0\\xa0
Listener Mail: Tell us what you want to know.
The Crystal Ball: Apple and other earnings next week, which have an impact on vol premium. The bulls could be coming back in force.
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Volatility Views: The Value of Gamma
\\nVolatility Review: Gold vol is getting crushed and is off about 4%, with similar action happening in silver. \\xa0Money is leaving gold and entering bonds and stocks. The Bernanke straddle is in full effect as money flows in from Asia. Lowest realized vol in Gold was charted in early April, with vol spiking ever since. Vol of vol is around 170, and is likely going over 200.\\xa0
\\nVolatility Viewpoint: Today guest is Shreyas Chari, Principal at Satwic Capital Partners. He discusses gamma and its relative value in the marketplace, as well as other aspects of volatility.
\\nThe Crystal Ball: Weekly options are becoming more efficiently priced.
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Volatility Views 85:\\xa0 Responding to Great Listener Questions
\\nVolatility Review: It is somewhat surprising to see how little the recent European crisis has impacted the VIX. Perhaps the market over-reacted to the news in Cypress. NASDAQ 21-day realized volatility is below that of the S&P.
\\nListener Mail: Keep those questions coming in.
\\nThe Crystal Ball: The crisis in the Mediterranean will likely get resolved soon, and in a way the market finds favorable. Happy Holidays everyone! We will be back in two weeks.
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Volatility Views 84: May You Live in Interesting Times
Volatility Review: We are back after a short break last weekend. Most major indexes have reached near-record lows highs.\\xa0 As a consequence, because of the inverse relationship, volatilities are extremely low. \\xa0Could this be the norm going forward? Is there a line drawn in the sand with options\' implied volatilities?
\\nListener Mail: Our team tackles your questions.
\\nCrystal Ball: Very rarely have\\xa0realized and implied volatility been this close to each other, making this an interesting period. VIX settlement next week.
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Volatility Views 83: Check Your Levels
\\nVolatility Review: We had quite a roller coaster week in terms of implied and realized vol. The importance of vol of vol has been showcased.
\\nListener Mail: We have a huge mail bag today.
\\nThe Crystal Ball: Sequestration! Keep an eye on Europe as well. Where can vol go next?
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Volatility Views 82: Scalp Gamma, Trade Vega
\\nVolatility Review: What is going to shake up the world of volatility? We did see a small pop this week. The weekend effect.
\\nThe Mail Bag: So many questions!
\\n\\xa0The Crystal Ball: Is the current level of realized volatility sustainable?
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Volatility Views 81: Capturing Volatility Premium
\\nVolatility Review: It\\u2019s about as blah as it can be with very little happening in the world of volatility. It\\u2019s not to say we told you so.\\xa0 If there is any edge, it\\u2019s in March VIX futures.
\\nVolatility Viewpoint: Today\'s guest is Scott Maidel, Senior Portfolio Manager, at Russell Investments. He discusses:
\\n\\xa0Crystal Ball: Is VIX at 11 possible? Skew may be the best way to go for now. Don and Andrew find common ground.
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Volatility Views 80: The Listeners Take Over
Volatility Review: NASDAQ realized vol hits 11.33, a continued downtrend not only in NASDAQ, but also S&P vol. The Russell is garnering premium over everything else.\\xa0
Listener Mail: Our listeners are keeping us busy with questions.
\\nThe Crystal Ball: Perhaps the Russell will be our salvation for a little action over the weekend. Looking for price increases in all the major indexes in the future. \\xa0
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Volatility Views 76: Commodity Futures and Volatility
\\nVolatility Views: Not much happening from a volatility perspective. NASDAQ vol review. VIX review.
\\nVolatility Viewpoint: Today\'s guest is Rob Heineman, a commodities broker at the Chicago Board of Trade. He discusses strategies to use going into crop reports, skew, volatility arbitrage, the impact of one commodity on another, the impact of weather, and more.
\\nCrystal Ball: NASDAQ and S&P outlook. It looks like it might be more of the same with little vol movement. We\'re stuck in the mid-winter summer doldrums.
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Volatility Views 75: New Year, New Questions
\\nVolatility Review: Happy 2013 to all our Volatility Views listeners! The market rallied across the board and then sold off after a deal was finally struck in Washington. S&P vol review.
\\nMail Bag: Keep those questions coming.
\\n\\xb7\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0 Tweet from Southbay Trader: I especially like Volatility Views!
\\n\\xb7\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0 Tweet from Billmoo: OIR - Top Financial Podcast of 2012!
\\n\\xb7\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0 Email from Allen Jacobs - Danbury, CT: Can you guys talk about dispersion trading? I\'ve heard that term quite a bit recently. I think it has to do with volatility trading, but I\'m not sure how or why, but I think I\'ve turned to the right people for help. Thanks for your show Mark, it\'s a big help to people like me, who aspire to one day be volatility pros like you guys.
\\n\\xb7\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0 Tweet from Leroy: Why weren\'t people aggressively shorting vol pre-cliff deal like the debt deal?
\\n\\xb7\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0 Email from Anonymous: I run the vol book at a local shop. I found your show about Mr. Black Swan very illuminating. I\'ve read all of Mr. Taleb\'s books and even met him several times. Like you, I assumed his trading style to be heavily long premium, and was surprised to hear the opposite. I would expect former market makers like "the Marks" and a former upstairs trader like Don to be aggressively short ATM premium, but not Mr. Taleb. He appears to be preparing himself for his black swan events by back spreading and being net long units, so it isn\'t a complete cop-out - he\'s not just writing ATM straddle and heading for the hills. Like all of you and your recent guest (Jared Woodward), I too am left with a somewhat bitter taste in my mouth after learning this information, it doesn\'t fit with the overall message and marketing of his work.
\\n\\xb7\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0 Email from Theodore Grant - Pittsburgh, PA: Mark, Volatility Views is my favorite show on your network! I wish there were more podcasts out there talking about volatility trading - you guys truly stand alone. My question has to do with tail risk, one of your favorite subjects. You guys always talk about tail risk and how it\'s become dramatically overpriced in indexes like the S&P 500 and even large cap stocks like Google. What about in commodity products like GLD, corn, oil, etc.? In those products the tail risk is found on the upside. Do you see the same overpricing of premium in the upside calls in those products as we currently see in downside SPY and Google puts? Thank you.
\\nThe Crystal Ball: Earnings season kicks off next week. Are we heading towards the winter doldrums?
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Volatility Views 74: Digging Deep into the Listener Mailbag
\\nVolatility Review: Most indices down 1% fueled by rumors out of Washington about a collapse in the deal over the impending "fiscal cliff."
\\nListener Mail: So many questions for us to answer.
\\nThe Crystal Ball: What can we expect to see in 2013?
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Volatility Views 73: Once More unto the Black Swan Breach
Volatility Review: NASDAQ vol hits 13.08. Apple, despite its tremendous movement, is having little effect on NASDAQ volatility. S&P realized vol versus implied vol.
Listener Mail: Back to Black Swans.
The Crystal Ball: Sebastian foresees a massive spike in realized vol with little to no spike in implied vol. Is it time to own gamma and be short vega? Still waiting for some news out of Washington.
\\n' -->Listed in: Business
\\n
Volatility Views 72: Closing the Book on Black Swans
Volatility Review: It was a very slow week in volatility, with the VIX sticking close to 16. Near-term VIX futures were trading at 0.50 below the cash contract at one point this week.
\\xa0
Listener Mail: Mark, Andrew, and Don answer listener questions.
\\n
The Crystal Ball: We\'re still waiting for a settlement in Washington on "the fiscal cliff."
\\n\\n\\nThe Crystal Ball: We\'re still waiting for a settlement in Washington on "the fiscal cliff."
\\n' -->Listed in: Business
Volatility Views 71: Condor Options Takes on Black Swans
Volatility Review: Near-term vol of vol has been extremely low of late.\\xa0NASDAQ and S&P\\xa0vol review: over the past two weeks vol has\\xa0been almost unchanged. How has our frame of reference for vol changed?\\xa0 \\xa0
Volatility Viewpoint: Today\'s guest is Jared Woodard, the founder of Condor Options. He discusses his recent article about volatility and black swan events. What was the response from Taleb? A major bombshell is dropped. Plus, Jared also gives his take on volatility risk premium.\\xa0
The Crystal Ball: The fear of the weekend. What could happen with "the fiscal cliff"?
Here is the link to the article on Condor Options\' website.
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\\n
Volatility Views 70: Stop Worrying about\\xa0Black Swans
Volatility Review: Selloffs continue, though the VIX has not changed much. VIX review. NASDAQ vol review. Almost no change in realized vol.
Volatility Viewpoint: Some interesting topics emerged from this week\'s global derivatives conference:\\xa0
Crystal Ball: Looking ahead at NASDAQ volatility and the VIX.\\xa0
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Volatility Views 67: VolContract Futures\\xa0Overlays:\\xa0The Holy Grail?
\\nVolatility Review: What\'s going on with the VIX rallying on a slow day like today? NASDAQ rundown. This is the first time we\'ve moved down\\xa0more than 1%\\xa0since June 26th.
Volatility Viewpoint: Today\'s guest is Nick Li, a Quantitative Analyst for\\xa0VolX. He tells us about the paper "VolContract Futures Overlay on an S&P 500 Portfolio," which compares some different implementations of VolContracts in conjunction with an equity portfolio.\\xa0
The Crystal Ball: Realized volatility should tick up a bit, but it depends on earnings.
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Volatility Views 65: Contango Tango
\\n\\xa0
\\nVolatility Review: The VIX is back at 14. We\'re definitely in a lower volatility environment. The May futures are currently trading around 24, which is almost three times current S&P realized volatility. Not much movement in NASDAQ.\\xa0
Volatility Viewpoint:\\xa0 Today\'s guest is Mike Cavanaugh, president\\xa0of Know Your Options, Inc. Mike talks about hedging stock portfolios with options and volatility products, the trouble with opening rotations, and more.\\xa0
Crystal Ball: Don\'t expect much to happen in the next week or so. Non-farms and the VP debate upcoming.
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Volatility Views 63: The Low End of the Volatility Spectrum
Volatility Review: Vol didn\'t get a boost going into the weekend, but it didn\'t sell off either. Very dull week in NASDAQ.
Listener Questions: The listeners direct the conversation.
Crystal Ball: Looking ahead to a slow upcoming week in vol.
\\n\\xa0
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