Volatility Views 237: Surprise Fed Study on Systemic Volatility

Published: Jan. 9, 2017, 6:35 p.m.

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Volatility Review: A much quieter start to 2017 than expected. VIX Cash at 11.67. VVIX at 81. VIX Futures: Front month premium at 1.43. 2016 was a good year for the volatility business. From a CBOE press release: Several trading records were set for the year.

Russells Weekly Rundown

  • VIX Options: ADV: 544k
  • A fairly light volume week to kick off the new year.
  • Total 5.9M (4.4m Calls, 1.5m Puts)
  • What is the impact of the Volcker Rule of volatility?
  • Oil Volatility: OIV/OVX - 31.5, crude Vol creeping back above 30.

Volatility Voicemail: Pop quizzes, questions, and comments

Happy New Year! First #QuestionOfTheWeek for 2017. Total #Options volume dropped 2% last year. How will 2017 #Options volume compare?

  • About the Same (+- .5%)
  • Modest Increase (up 1-2%)
  • Modest Drop (down 1-2%)
  • Big Change (+- over 2%)

#Volatility Pop Quiz - New Years edition: The trillion dollar question - Where will $VIX close at the end of 2017?

  • Below 12
  • Between 12-15
  • Between 15-18
  • Over 18

Listener questions and comments:

  • Comment from Alaran: I think the 30 strike is popular each month simply because big insurance firms need to hedge themselves against calamitous market events. VIX > 30 = calamitous event in the eyes of many.
  • Question from Julio: In the spirit of the new year, when are we going to get new VIX products? Especially Monday through Friday weekly VIX options?

Crystal Ball: Looking into the future

Two weeks ago:

  • Mark L. - 11.25
  • Russell - 12
  • Ghost of Mark S. - 5.2

This week:

  • Mark L. - 11.5
  • Russell - 10.99
  • Mark S. - 12.01

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