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Highlights:

• \\u201cOf course these are predictive models so we have to take them with a grain of salt here. And also this is of course predicated on all of us going out to vote.\\u201d\\xa0
• \\u201cOpinion polls are completely obsolete when it comes to the predictions of the Primary Model\\u2026 Norpoth\\u2019s model is the only one that has for more than a hundred years selected the winner of virtually all presidential campaigns which is 25 of the last 27 elections.\\u201d
• \\u201cThis Democracy Institute poll is obviously huge given how they were able to accurately predict the Brexit vote and Trump in 2016.\\u201d
• Trafalgar Group specializes in polling Rust Belt states like Wisconsin, Iowa, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Minnesota. They were right in predicting that Trump would win the Rust Belt in 2016.\\u201d\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0

Timestamps: \\xa0\\xa0

• [02:32] The predictive models of election forecasts
• [03:37] Helmut Norpoth\\u2019s Primary Model\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0
• [05:53] President Trump and Biden\\u2019s votes in the primaries\\xa0\\xa0
• [07:26] The Democracy Institute prediction\\xa0\\xa0\\xa0
• [08:37] The Trafalgar Group

Resources:\\xa0

• The Primary Model
• Democracy Institute
• Trafalgar Group\\xa0
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