662: Critical margin of error is 3 or 4 points; if Trump should win, “We told you there were [secret] voters.” @johnfund

Published: Nov. 4, 2020, 3:31 a.m.

Image: J. C. Short to Unknown, November 1860 (Telegram containing election returns) John Fund, @johnfund, NRO, in re: The media well identified Trump’s problem w suburban women, but failed to identify Biden’s problem with Black and Latino voters.  Joe Biden a is a 78-year old tired, white man not exciting to younger voters. Georgia is changing demographically, esp Hispanic; and Trump is outperforming with Hispanics.  Virginia: Fairfax Co.—look at the downballot. Democrats thought they’d won more House seats in VA, but may wind up losing some.  Pennsylvania: collar counties turnout was not vigorous.  A muddled picture. PA will be very close, not decided for days.  Cultural cross-currents: middle-class suburbanites moving toward Trump; [richer] ones dislike Trump’s personality. Nancy Pelosi declares the center of resistance is her office; will demand stimulus bill.   Arizona Senatorial vote is important. Maybe a 49-51 Senate, don't know which way.  Recall: “margin of error” (3 of or 4 points); if Trump wins, “We told you there were [secret] voters.”