'BradCast' 1/4/2023 (Guest: Data researcher Tom Bonier; Day 2 of GOP House failure)

Published: Jan. 5, 2023, 2:23 a.m.

b"On today's 'BradCast':\\xa0 In the U.S. House, Day 2 of the GOP Rebellion Without Any Actual Cause That I Know Of continued with divided Republicans again failing three separate times to select a House Speaker. Far-right Republicans blocked their leader, Kevin McCarthy, from securing a majority of votes by nominating African-American Florida Rep. Byron Donalds, whose troubled past is very on-brand for today's GOP.\\xa0 New reporting provides some clarifying new insights into the 2022 midterm elections and the pervasive, misleading narrative of a so-called 'red wave' that ultimately failed to materialize. Data indicate that a surge of partisan Republican-leaning polls, using dodgy methodologies, managed to game the polling averages at highly-trafficked forecast sites. That, in turn, succeeded in misleading Democratic campaigns into changing strategy, spending more to shore up otherwise safe seats while abandoning winnable competitive races. TOM BONIER, CEO of the Democratic data research firm, TargetSmart, one of the very few who warned before the election that GOP polls were misleading the media and voters, explains how Republicans successfully gamed the polling averages to create a false narrative, and what lessons should be learned going forward into the 2024 election cycle. Bonier also offers insight and analysis on the Republicans' dumpster-fire failure to select a House Speaker, and what comes next."