95 Statistics Bias, Fake News, Question Authority

Published: May 2, 2017, 3:39 p.m.

b'\\u201cStatistics and Bias - Which one of these are better for you, nutrition?\\u201d\\n\\n\\n\\nThis may start out sounding a little bland, but I want to blow your socks off. It is also not about politics except as an example. You need to be aware because biased statistics has you following bad medicine; eating the wrong things and making bad decisions for your business or life. I may be talking about biased statistics, statistical bias, etc., but what are we really talking about?\\n\\nWe\\u2019re talking about the information you get and hear about every single day from the media, from teachers, from other people. If you\\u2019ve ever seen some of those movies or listen to some of the songs from the 60s, one of the big themes was: Question Authority.\\nQuestion Authority\\nQuestion authority is important for lots of different reasons, but what causes bias? Some of it is biased in the sample the way they choose people. Who do they choose to ask about a certain question? Some of it is actually that they don\\u2019t know any better, but many times what people are doing is they\\u2019re trying to influence you and give you some reason to believe in what they believe. Now, they may be thinking that they\\u2019re doing well, but they\\u2019re giving you bad information to base your decision on and trying to convince you or tell you what is the case.\\nI\\u2019m going to give you a lot of different examples of this, a lot of background, and a lot of things for you to think about, some of which you probably believe \\u2013 but they\\u2019ve been proven wrong or certainly have not been proven that you should listen to them.\\n\\nIt\\u2019s one of my favorite topics anyway, but it came up because I was sitting there watching some things on TV, and they were talking about the popularity of Trump. I don\\u2019t really care whether you like him or dislike him. I\\u2019m trying to talk about the statistics. Both sides might do it, all kinds of people, I don\\u2019t really care about that. What I care about is you getting good information.\\nPolitics only as a Statistics Bias\\xa0Example\\nThe reason I\\u2019m talking about it is not because of Trump or politics, but because if you\\u2019re doing a business, starting up a business, or trying to grow your business. You have to be able to discern and listen to true authority (how to establish authority), and understand a little bit about what may happen in statistics. People might be doing to convince you, convince you of their product, their company, or whatever. For example, what should you be investing in? What should you be joining or starting up?\\n\\nThere are different reasons that people have. Some of it is just bad information; they don\\u2019t know any better, they\\u2019ve just never really understood statistics enough to know what\\u2019s good or bad. I\\u2019ll give you an example of that, too, when I go into some of this.\\n\\nFirst of all, what about that political example? Just recently Rasmussen and John McLaughlin of the McLaughlin Group came out, and they both have Trump\\u2019s favorability ratings at about 50%, and John McLaughlin was being interviewed because it differs so much from some of the results that you\\u2019re hearing about from the others. They are the Quinnipiac, Gallup, and Pew polls, which all had Trump down in the 30s someplace, low 30s to low 40. What was the difference?\\n\\nThis has got to be not ignorance but actually deliberate because it is so bad\\u2014in the Quinnipiac poll only 23% of the sample were Republicans, Gallup \\u2013 26%, and then in the Pew poll they sampled 51% Democrat. Now, in the last election only a few months ago the people that identified and voted as Republicans were 33%. They should have been polling something that was a reasonable sample of people who had voted or likely voters. You can only wonder whether this was deliberate in order to tell a story, and to sell their samples and to sell their polling.\\nAgain, forget about Trump and all that other stuff. First thing, though, this was pointed out and then in the case of Fox News they continued to talk about the polls as if they were legitima...'