What role should modelling play in a crisis?

Published: July 18, 2022, 8:58 p.m.

b'Modelling and forecasting played a prominent role in the way policies were designed and decisions were made during the coronavirus pandemic. But the government\\u2019s handling of the crisis raised questions about how modelling - epidemiological and economic \\u2013 was used by ministers.\\n\\nSo how should models be produced and used within government? How should they be communicated to the public? And how well equipped are ministers and officials to understand and interpret modelling when making their decisions?.\\n\\nThis panel explored the role of modelling in the Covid pandemic, the lessons that ministers should learn, and how the UK should draw on modelling in future crises.\\n\\nBen Chu, Economics Editor for Newsnight\\nProfessor Neil Ferguson, Director of the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis at Imperial College London\\nRichard Hughes, Chair of the Office for Budget Responsibility\\nRuth Kelly, Chief Analyst at the National Audit Office.\\n\\nThe event was chaired by Dr Gemma Tetlow, Chief Economist at the Institute for Government.\\n\\n#IfGforecast\\n\\nWe would like to thank The Forum, Imperial College London\\u2019s policy engagement initiative for kindly supporting this event.'