Episode 111 - Oil recovery in the US? | COVID | Noncompliance at OPEC | China

Published: June 9, 2020, 4:55 a.m.

b'Saudi Arabia says there is \'no room whatsoever\' for non-compliance over OPEC+ production cuts
https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2020/06/08/oil-prices-saudi-arabia-says-no-room-whatsoever-for-opec-non-compliance.html
- but really, can Iraq comply when it doesn\\u2019t have full control over its own industry

Russia\'s Novak sees potential 3-5 million bpd oil market shortage in July: Ifax
https://mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKBN23B0ZF

What the Data Tells Us: US Oil Needs $70 Per Barrel to Sustain Operations
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2020/06/05/what_the_data_tells_us_us_oil_needs_70_per_barrel_to_sustain_operations_495417.amp.html
- Rig count IS an indicator of activity But rig count had been declining for awhile. It doesn\\u2019t have to go back to where it was before.
- We could get back to where we were in December with fewer rigs
- Companies are planning well into the future and ready to apply for permit to drill the rig
- Sitton predicts $100 oil before the end of 2022???

Morgan Stanley flags risk oil price rally will lead to a fall
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-research-morganstanley-oil/morgan-stanley-flags-risk-oil-price-rally-will-lead-to-a-fall-idUSKBN23F15I
- Could it be that coronavirus lockdowns actually helped shale industry more by ripping off the bandaid?
- Instead of a slow bleeding, forced Saudis and Russians to pull back
- Will the protests help people conquer their fear of going out and actually help oil Restore oil demand

Shale producers\\u2019 hedging strategies take center stage
https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news/2112308-shale-producers-hedging-strategies-take-center-stage#.Xt5GY7E-hiQ
- Pioneer, Diamondback, Parsley and Concho have hedged over 85% of their 2020 output

Saudis Make Biggest Oil Price Hike in 20 Years After OPEC+ Cuts https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-06-07/saudis-make-biggest-oil-price-hike-in-20-years-after-opec-cuts

China\'s May crude imports hit record high at 11.34 mil b/d, up 19% on year
https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/oil/060820-chinas-may-crude-imports-hit-record-high-at-1134-mil-bd-up-19-on-year
- China likes cheap oil
- China doing more than people think to keep people happy WHILE at the same time doing what they want to.

Check out \\u201cThe Rise and Fall of OPEC in the Twentieth Century\\u201d by Giuliano Garavini
https://www.amazon.com/dp/B07VBGDBCD/ref=as_li_ss_tl?_encoding=UTF8&btkr=1&linkCode=sl1&tag=ryanraysr-20&linkId=0eeeb607dd43f7f65af5b04eb9d6e102&language=en_US

https://www.forbes.com/sites/ellenrwald/#ddfe4cd3ebaf

https://www.forbes.com/sites/ellenrwald/2020/06/08/coronavirus-lockdowns-may-only-exacerbate-climate-fights/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-06-08/china-says-debt-payments-paused-for-77-nations-after-g-20-deal?sref=UDsXHHSk

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