Who is the better president for China?
Let's discuss the question mentioned in the title: whether Trump and Biden is a better US president for China?
China's perception of the influence of American domestic politics on China's national interests is constantly advancing with the times. When the political stances of the Democratic Party and the Republican Party of the United States are very clear, we generally believe that in relations with China, the Democratic Party pays more attention to topics in ideological fields such as democracy and human rights, while the Republican Party pays more attention to free trade. Relatively speaking, China prefers to deal with the Republican Party. But this concept was completely broken with the elections of Trump, the atypical Republican candidate.
In fact, Trump is not the Republican president in the traditional sense at all. He just entered the White House under the cloak of the Republican Party but the core of his basic political proposition is "extreme right-wing radical populist." Biden, who has been immersed in Washington's politics for decades, is more like a traditional Democratic politician.
In the past few decades, China’s perception of American politicians initially used the distinct differences of positions of the two parties to judge whoever is to China’s advantage, but later discovered that the both Democratic and Republican parties may have differences, but the starting point of any policy they adopt is to safeguard the national interests of the United States. After realizing this, China was able to take the party rotation in the United States more calmly.
Among Trump and Biden, the current mainstream view is that no matter who is elected, it is not a key factor for China. The most important thing for China is still to do its own thing in a steady manner. But this view can go to an extreme. It believes that Trump and Biden are essentially the same in dealing with China, and there is absolutely no need for China to pay attention to who is up and who is down. I think this view is wrong.
Party rotation is not the main factor affecting China’s development, but it does not mean that we do not need to deeply analyze the specific personality differences and policy preferences of the two parties’ presidential candidates, nor does it mean that China does not need to do anything. At this moment, we must not only see the "consistency" between Trump and Biden on the China issue, but also the huge differences in their specific China policies due to their personal characteristics and political ideas.
From a rational point of view, if Biden is elected, it is most likely to realize China's position of preventing crises, managing differences and strengthening cooperation. He must negotiate with China to discuss crisis prevention, manage differences, and how to strengthen cooperation with China in areas that are in the United States' national interests. This is precisely the situation that China most hopes to see.
Anyway, because of the painful lessons of 2016, no one now dares to predict whether Trump will be re-elected or Biden will come to power.
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