Ep. 61: Short- and long-term questions for Australian foreign policy
b"Feeling particularly reflective as the US electoral process inches toward a conclusion, Allan and Darren chat about what they see as the short- and long-term challenges facing Australian foreign policy. In the short term, the bilateral relationship with China looms largest. Allan makes that case that the Prime Minister (or Foreign Minister) should make a speech clearly outlining Australia\\u2019s position, while Darren wonders whether the PM has already said what he wants to say. And what specific diplomatic moves available to the government? Darren offers some thoughts on whether the ongoing trade disruptions are simply coercion, or whether other geoeconomic or industry policy motives may be a factor. The two also debate the distinction between \\u201cthe Chinese government\\u201d and \\u201cthe CCP\\u201d, and compare it to distinguishing the Trump administration from the United States as a whole.\\nThe other major short-term issue discussed is cooperation with Australia\\u2019s regional partners, Southeast Asia in particular. The signing of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) may offer an opportunity for Australia to develop deeper ties, though Darren raises whether shared security interests are a necessary condition for really substantive cooperation. He also speculates on whether Australia\\u2019s experience with economic coercion and protecting against foreign interference could be a useful source of advice, while Allan counters that Asian nations have been grappling with these questions for decades, even centuries! Allan also previews PM Morrison\\u2019s trip to Japan this week.\\nLooking to the longer term, Allan and Darren describe a range of possible futures, the kinds of investment strategies Australia could pursue now to prepare for future challenges, and potential risks to a long-term strategy.\\nWe thank AIIA intern Mitchell McIntosh for his help with research and audio editing and Rory Stenning for composing our theme music.\\nRelevant Links\\nPM Lee Hsien Loong gave the keynote address at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) Shangri-La Dialogue Opening Dinner on 31 May 2019 at the Shangri-La Hotel, Singapore: https://www.pmo.gov.sg/Newsroom/PM-Lee-Hsien-Loong-at-the-IISS-Shangri-La-Dialogue-2019\\nLee Hsien Loong, \\u201cThe Endangered Asian Century: America, China, and the Perils of Confrontation\\u201d, Foreign Affairs, July/August 2020: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/asia/2020-06-04/lee-hsien-loong-endangered-asian-century\\nStephen Dziedzic, \\u201cScott Morrison unveils Government plans to reassert Australia's influence in South-East Asia\\u201d, ABC News, 14 November 2020: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-14/australia-canberra-new-aid-south-east-asia-scott-morrison/12883088\\nJoe Biden, \\u201cWhy American must lead again: Rescuing U.S. Foreign Policy After Trump\\u201d, Foreign Affairs, March/April 2020: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-01-23/why-america-must-lead-again\\nGovernment of Victoria, \\u201cVictorian Pledge For Institute Of Infectious Disease\\u201d, 13 November 2020: https://www.premier.vic.gov.au/victorian-pledge-institute-infectious-disease\\nTim Alberta, \\u201cElissa Slotkin Braces for a Democratic Civil War\\u201d, 13 November 2020: https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/11/13/elissa-slotkin-braces-for-a-democratic-civil-war-436301\\nDavid French, Divided we fall: America\\u2019s secession threat and how to restore our nation\\u201d, Pan Macmillan Australia: https://www.panmacmillan.com.au/9781250201973/\\xa0\\nEzra Klein podcast interview with Evan Osnos, \\u201cJoe Biden, explained\\u201d, 7 November 2020: https://www.vox.com/ezra-klein-show-podcast/2020/11/7/21554198/joe-biden-evan-osnos-president-2020-election-white-house-donald-trump\\nLittle Red Podcast, \\u201cXi Dada and Daddy: Power, the Party and the President\\u201d, 2 November 2020: https://omny.fm/shows/the-little-red-podcast/xi-dada-and-daddy-power-the-party-and-the-presiden?in_playlist=the-little-red-podcast!podcast\\n\\u201cP.E. with Joe\\u201d, Monday 23 March 2020: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rz0go1pTda8"