Ep. 104: 20th Party Congress; export controls; Australia-Japan

Published: Nov. 11, 2022, 10:04 p.m.

b'After a month away, Allan and Darren try to make sense of a big month of news. They start with the Chinese Community Party\\u2019s 20th Party Congress, where President Xi Jinping secured an unprecedented 3rd term as leader, and (somewhat more surprisingly) was completely successful in elevating loyalists to the Party\\u2019s inner leadership circle. Is China just a \\u2018normal\\u2019 authoritarian country now?\\nNext, in what is arguably the most significant policy decision affecting US-China relations in decades, the Biden Administration has imposed sweeping new controls on the export of semiconductors and other advanced technologies to China. These are perceived to be \\u2018force multipliers\\u2019 and thus necessary to curtail China\\u2019s military development. The issue is that they are also widely used in commercial technologies, and Beijing will thus perceive this as economic \\u201ccontainment\\u201d. Allan talks through the implications for Australia and Darren offers his cost/benefit analysis of the policy.\\nFinally, the past month has also been extremely busy in Australian foreign policy! Allan and Darren opt to focus on Japanese PM Kishida\\u2019s visit to Australia and the Joint Declaration on Security Cooperation that resulted. Allan explains the history of bilateral cooperation, while Darren uses the Declaration to (begin to) give some form to a theory of Australian foreign policy under the new government.\\nWe thank Atikah Mekki for audio editing and Rory Stenning for composing our theme music.\\nRelevant links\\nScott Waldron, Darren J. Lim, Victor Ferguson, \\u201cExploring the Domestic Foundations of Chinese Economic Sanctions: The Case of Australia\\u201d, China Brief 22(18), October 4, 2022: https://jamestown.org/program/exploring-the-domestic-foundations-of-chinese-economic-sanctions-the-case-of-australia/\\nDarren Lim and John Ikenberry, \\u201cChina and the logic of illiberal hegemony\\u201d, Security Studies (forthcoming): https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4244377\\nAndrew Nathan, \\u201cChina\\u2019s changing of the guard: Authoritarian resilience\\u201d, Journal of democracy 14(1), 2003: https://www.cecc.gov/sites/chinacommission.house.gov/files/documents/hearings/2004/CECC%20Hearing%20Testimony%20-%20Andrew%20Nathan%20additional%20PDF%20-%206.3.04.pdf\\nRemarks by National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan at the Special Competitive Studies Project Global Emerging Technologies Summit, 16 September 2022: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2022/09/16/remarks-by-national-security-advisor-jake-sullivan-at-the-special-competitive-studies-project-global-emerging-technologies-summit/\\nDarren Lim and Victor Ferguson, \\u201cConscious decoupling: The technology security dilemma\\u201d, China Dreams (China Story Yearbook 2019): https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3484171\\nZack Cooper, \\u201che fundamental tension in Biden\\u2019s national security strategy\\u201d, Channel News Asia, 29 October 2022: https://www.channelnewsasia.com/commentary/us-biden-national-security-strategy-russia-china-asia-3030556\\nIsabella Keith, \\u201c11 November 2022: The Week in Australian Foreign Affairs\\u201d, Australian Outlook, 11 November 2022: https://www.internationalaffairs.org.au/australianoutlook/11-november-2022-the-week-in-australian-foreign-affairs/\\nAustralia-Japan Joint Declaration on Security Cooperation, 22 October 2022: https://www.dfat.gov.au/countries/japan/australia-japan-joint-declaration-security-cooperation\\nAnthony Albanese and Kishida Fumio, Opening remarks \\u2013 Australia Japan Leaders\\u2019 Meeting, 22 October 2022: https://www.pm.gov.au/media/opening-remarks-australia-japan-leaders-meeting\\nEverything everywhere all at once (film): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Everything_Everywhere_All_at_Once\\nMichael Wesley, \\u201cThe war in Ukraine: implications for Asia\\u201d, Lowy Interpreter, 28 October 2022: https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/war-ukraine-implications-asia\\nGeorge Packer, \\u201cUkrainians are defending the values Americans claim to hold\\u201d, The Atlantic, 6 September 2022: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazi'