Ep. 101: Taiwan

Published: Sept. 1, 2022, 11:59 p.m.

b"Taiwan represents possibly the most intractable issue in international affairs, but also one of the most important. Arguably, no theory or opinion on the biggest questions Australian foreign policy can be complete, or maybe even credible, until it grapples with the Taiwan issue. And so on this episode Allan and Darren use the occasion of US Speaker Nancy Pelosi\\u2019s controversial visit to the island to sort through their views.\\nBe warned, this is a long and wonkish episode! But more so than perhaps anything else discussed on the podcast, Taiwan requires the time and space to lay out one\\u2019s views and have them challenged.\\nThe episode concludes with a quick update on Australia-China relations, given the Chinese Ambassador\\u2019s recent speech at the National Press Club.\\nWe bid farewell Annabel Howard and thank her so much for all her help, and welcome Atikah Mekki and thank her for audio editing today, and thanks also to Rory Stenning for composing our theme music.\\nRelevant links\\nJames Fearon, \\u201cRationalist explanations for war\\u201d, International Organization, Volume 49 Issue 3 (1995): https://web.stanford.edu/group/fearon-research/cgi-bin/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Rationalist-Explanations-for-War.pdf\\nHugh White, \\u201cSleepwalk to War: Australia's Unthinking Alliance with America\\u201d, Quarterly Essay, 27 June 2022: https://www.blackincbooks.com.au/books/sleepwalk-war\\nMichael Beckley, Zack Cooper, and Allison Schwartz, \\u201cDeterring Coercion and Conflict Across the Taiwan Strait\\u201d, American Enterprise Institute: https://www.defendingtaiwan.com/deterring-coercion-and-conflict-across-the-taiwan-strait/\\nJames R. Holmes and Toshi Yoshihara, \\u201cTaiwan\\u2019s Navy: Able to Deny Command of the Sea?\\u201d, China Brief Volume 10, Issue 8 (2010): https://jamestown.org/program/taiwans-navy-able-to-deny-command-of-the-sea/\\nBonnie Glaser and Zack Cooper, \\u201cNancy Pelosi\\u2019s Trip to Taiwan Is Too Dangerous\\u201d New York Times, 28 July 2022: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/28/opinion/china-us-taiwan-pelosi.html\\nBen Herscovitch, \\u201cAustralia\\u2019s shifting statements on Taiwan, China\\u2019s changed tone, and coal exports\\u201d, Beijing to Canberra and Back\\u201d (newsletter), 4 August 2022: https://beijing2canberra.substack.com/p/australias-shifting-statements-on\\nAmbassador Xiao Qian, Ambassador of the People's Republic of China, Speech to National Press Club (video), 10 August 2022: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AXeHRtmWJ68\\nChina's ambassador to Australia addresses National Press Club \\u2060\\u2014 as it happened (Live Blog), ABC News, 10 August 2022: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-08-10/live-updates-xiao-qian-addresses-national-press-club/101318252\\nBen Herscovitch, \\u201cBeijing (re)embraces one-China disinformation plus aggregate leader-level meetings\\u201d, Beijing to Canberra and Back\\u201d (newsletter), 31 August 2022: https://beijing2canberra.substack.com/p/beijing-reembraces-one-china-disinformation\\nGatra Priyandita, Dirk Van Der Kley and Ben Herscovitch, \\u201cLocalization and China\\u2019s Tech Success in Indonesia\\u201d, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 11 July 2022: https://carnegieendowment.org/2022/07/11/localization-and-china-s-tech-success-in-indonesia-pub-87477\\nKevin Rudd, The Avoidable War: The Dangers of a Catastrophic Conflict between the US and Xi Jinping\\u2019s China (Hachette, 2022): https://www.hachette.com.au/kevin-rudd/the-avoidable-war-the-dangers-of-a-catastrophic-conflict-between-the-us-and-xi-jinpings-china\\nJessica Chen Weiss, \\u201cThe China Trap: US foreign policy and the perilous logic of zero-sum competition\\u201d, Foreign Affairs, Sep/Oct 2022: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/china/china-trap-us-foreign-policy-zero-sum-competition\\nThe Sandman (TV): https://www.netflix.com/au/title/81150303"