Published: Oct. 10, 2020, 5:56 p.m.
Highlights:
- \u201cFifty-six percent of Americans say that they are better off under President Trump than they were four years ago under Obama and Biden. That number is the highest number ever recorded by Gallup.\u201d
- \u201cThis number 56% is absolutely stunning. CNN\u2019s blatant attempt at gaslighting notwithstanding.\u201d
- \u2018\u2018He didn\u2019t just win. He was the first Republican to get over 300 electoral votes in 30 years.\u201d\xa0\xa0
Timestamps:\xa0\xa0
- [03:28] The latest Gallup poll with the highest number ever recorded and the gaslighting from CNN\xa0
- [04:35] Looking at the same numbers from the past presidents\xa0
- [05:26] On the Rasmussen and the Democracy Institute polls
- [08:16] The Primary Model of election forecast by Helmut Norpoth
- [09:39] On the prediction accuracy of the Primary Model
- [10:50] Norpoth\u2019s model\u2019s ability to predict the winner months before the election\xa0
- [12:14] The Primary Model doesn\u2019t pay attention to the polls
\xa0Resources:\xa0\xa0
- The Primary Model
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