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Highlights:

• \u201cBiden\u2019s lead has completely collapsed, which of course, is perfectly consistent with his non-campaign.\u201d
• \u201cBlack voters overwhelmingly want more police, not less. They want more law enforcement, not less. And while yes, they are more sympathetic to the concerns of BLM, they\u2019re emphatically not sympathetic with rioters and looters.\u201d
• \u201cTrump is more likely to win in 2020 than he was in 2016 for two reasons.\u201d\xa0
• \u201cPresident Trump has been setting new records for incumbent seeking re-election.\u201d\xa0

\xa0 Timestamps:\xa0

• [03:23] Rasmussen\u2019s method of polling and Trump\u2019s standings
• [05:05] On the Democracy Institute poll and the aggregate polling
• [06:33] Biden\u2019s lead collapsing and his non-campaign\xa0
• [08:24] The political consequences of the riots and the sentiments of the black voters\xa0
• [10:32] The Primary Model of polling and its prediction on the 2020 election
• [13:02] Two reasons why Trump is more likely to win 2020 than he was in 2016\xa0

Resources:\xa0\xa0

• Agenda Seeding: How 1960s Black Protests Moved Elites, Public Opinion and Voting O MAR WASOW, Princeton University
• Helmut Norpoth\u2019s \u2018Primary Model\u2019
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