Those Expecting Low Inflation Are in for a Surprise Ep. 314

Published: Jan. 4, 2018, 2:03 a.m.

b"Market Ignoring Economic Realities
\\nAll three of three of the U.S. stock market indexes are ringing in the New Year with new record highs.\\xa0 The market was up on the first trading day of the year; up again today.\\xa0 NASDAQ composite is the star, 7065 today up another .84% - a new record high. The same thing with the S&P and the Dow.\\xa0 The Dow is now almost at 25,000; it closed at 24,922.\\xa0 Of course, everybody is ignoring, though, the economic reality.
\\nWhat Do Oil Price Increases Imply for the Economy?
\\nLook at the price of oil, up again today - 61.77 is the close, up 1.40 - we were up yesterday. This is the highest oil has closed in over 2 years.\\xa0 If we get above 62.75 that would be the highest close since December of 2014. It was all between July and December of 2014 that oil prices collapsed from above $100/barrel to below $40. I think this year we have clear sailing to $80 - $100 oil this year.\\xa0 Nobody is talking about what this implies for the U.S economy. This is a gigantic tax hike for consumers. Doubling the price of oil over a 2-year period is going to have a major impact on the cost of everything.
\\nWatch Commodities Prices
\\nIt's not just energy costs.\\xa0 Commodities in general are strong. Gold was up $15 on the first trading day of the year; we were down about $4-5 today, getting back some of the gains, so gold is off to a good start. Some of the gold stocks were very strong yesterday.\\xa0 Across the board, the resource sector is going up.\\xa0 In fact the ironic thing is that we got the release of the FOMC minutes today and as soon as the minutes came out, gold actually sold off, and clawed its way back to down a little bit on the day.
\\nFed Expectations of Low Inflation
\\nIf you look at those minutes, the only concerns that the FOMC minutes expressed about inflation was that it was still too low.\\xa0 They are worried that inflation expectations are still too low, that the public, or investors still don't expect enough inflation, which shows you how clueless the public is.\\xa0 If they don't think there is going to be inflation, they're wrong.\\xa0 Those expectations are totally wrong.
\\nHitting 2% Inflation Out of the Park
\\nPeople are ignoring what is going on in the currency markets, the commodities markets, the bond markets.\\xa0 All of these markets are flashing inflation, according to the way you measure it: Consumer prices producer prices, they're all going to be going up, and the Fed, is still worried that they are not going to be going up fast enough, that they're not going to hit their 2% goal. They are going to hit that out of the park.\\xa0 They are going to be looking at 2% in the distant rear view mirror.\\n\\nOur Sponsors:\\n* Check out Rosetta Stone and use my code TODAY for a great deal: https://www.rosettastone.com/ \\n\\nPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy"