Labor Force Participation Rate Plunges to 38-Year Low Ep. 92

Published: July 3, 2015, 1:48 a.m.

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\\n\\t* Happy 4th of July to everyone
\\n\\t* Unfortunately, we have given up our independence to government tyranny
\\n\\t* I will be back on the radio again - I\'ll be on the Alex Jones Show every first and third Friday of every month when the Non-Farm Payroll numbers come out
\\n\\t* I will be doing tomorrow\'s show - the second hour of the show
\\n\\t* The Non-Farm Payroll Report came out early this week because of the 4th of July holiday
\\n\\t* The consensus forecast of 230,000 jobs was close to the actual number 223,000
\\n\\t* The unemployment rate of 5.5% last month was expected to come in at 5$% - actually came in at 5.3%, the lowest unemployment rate in 7 years
\\n\\t* Great news, right? Not great news
\\n\\t* The devil is in the details
\\n\\t* The Labor Force Participation Rate - 62.9 last month - plunged down to 62.6%
\\n\\t* This is the lowest rate since 1977
\\n\\t* 432,000 people dropped out of the labor force in June - twice the number of people who got jobs in June
\\n\\t* Once again, these new jobs are low-paying service sector jobs
\\n\\t* During the Obama "recovery" we have lost 1.4 million manufacturing jobs and gained 1.4 million wait staff and bartender jobs
\\n\\t* According to the Household Survey 640,000 Americans left the labor force in June
\\n\\t* Now we have a record 93.6 million Americans no longer in the labor force
\\n\\t* The Household Survey reports 349,000 jobs were lost during the month
\\n\\t* The only net gain - 161,000 part time jobs - represent a net loss
\\n\\t* The Household Survey shows that we lost good jobs
\\n\\t* When asked about the Labor Force Participation Rate number, Secretary of Labor Perez commented, "One month does not a trend make."
\\n\\t* This trend has been going down every month of every year that President Obama has been in office
\\n\\t* Janet Yellen announced that the Fed would not start raising rates without "further improvement in the labor market"
\\n\\t* She specifically cited the Labor Force Participation Rate and proliferation of part-time jobs as troubling trends
\\n\\t* We are now further from that goal
\\n\\t* The demographic leaving the labor force are young people who cannot find jobs
\\n\\t* Average Hourly Earnings, to increase .2, actually came in flat, at zero
\\n\\t* Last month\'s .3 increase was revised down to .2, failing to beat the estimate
\\n\\t* Weekly Jobless Claims expected to come in at 270,000, actually came in at 281,000 and I think this number is going to go higher
\\n\\t* There have been fewer hires and fewer fires than expected because the estimates were based on the Birth/Death model, that is proving inaccurate
\\n\\t* Factory Orders are down for 9 of the last 10 months - this month we were looking for -.3% and we got -1%
\\n\\t* April was originally reported as -.4 but was revised down to -.7
\\n\\t* Year over year Factory Orders are down 6.3% (adjusted)
\\n\\t* The only time we have seen numbers this weak is during a recession
\\n\\t* The economy is in worse shape now that when QE3 was launched
\\n\\t* Yet the markets did not react to these bad numbers
\\n\\t* They still cling to the narrative that the Fed is going to raise rates because the U.S. economy is in good shape
\\n\\t* Article on Motley Fool refers to me as someone who was "right for the wrong reason"
\\n\\t* The misquoted me on my prediction on (mortgage)interest rates going up
\\n\\t* After I made that statement, interest rates did go up for 2 years - they did not go down until after the bubble burst
\\n\\t* The Fed raised interest rates from 1% to 5-1/2 percent
\\n\\t* This quote was taken out of context - read my 2007 book, "Crash Proof"
\\n\\t* There are dozens of articles about the real estate bubble 2004-2007
\\n\\t* The record shows that I was right for all the right reasons
\\n\\t* I did think the dollar would go down after the housing bubble burst,\\n\\nOur Sponsors:\\n* Check out Rosetta Stone and use my code TODAY for a great deal: https://www.rosettastone.com/ \\n\\nPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy'