Con Job Report Ep. 87

Published: June 6, 2015, 11:13 p.m.

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\\n\\t* Once again, a week of worse than expected economic data punctuated by another better than expected non-farm payroll report from the government
\\n\\t* ADP private sector payroll report was slightly below estimates
\\n\\t* 5,000 manufacturing jobs lost - 3rd consecutive monthly decline
\\n\\t* Unemployment rate dropped
\\n\\t* Labor participation rate up to 62.9 - .2% above lowest point
\\n\\t* Large sector of labor force still comprised of older workers
\\n\\t* Teens, twenties and thirties are at all-time lows
\\n\\t* Older Americans want part-time jobs, so increase of part-time jobs contribute to increase in all jobs
\\n\\t* Given the strong government jobs number, the media is discounting all the weak data, including GDP, productivity, consumer spending and industrial production
\\n\\t* The jobs we're creating do not reflect economic strength
\\n\\t* The weekly unemployment numbers are hovering at 42-year lows
\\n\\t* Does anyone believe that this is the strongest economy in 42 years?
\\n\\t* The hiring numbers are suspect to begin with because of the government's assumptions
\\n\\t* The Trade Deficit dropped not because our exports surged, but because out imports plunged
\\n\\t* Our economy is too weak to support a greater number of imports
\\n\\t* A closer look at the data behind the government jobs number actually supports the rest of the weak economic data
\\n\\t* Personal Income and Spending on the month missed estimates
\\n\\t* May Manufacturing PMI dropped slightly
\\n\\t* April Factory Orders fell by more than expected
\\n\\t* Year over year, orders are down 6.4%
\\n\\t* 6th consecutive month that factory orders have been down year over year
\\n\\t* This has only happened in America during a recession
\\n\\t* Mortgage applications fell sharply on the week - 7.6% decline, led by a 12% decline in re-fi's
\\n\\t* May Services PMI fell to 56.2 - lowest level since January
\\n\\t* ISM Non-Manufacturing Index dropped to 55.7 - the lowest level of the year
\\n\\t* The revision to Q1 Productivity - 3.1% decline
\\n\\t* We also had a decline in 2014 Q4
\\n\\t* Corporate profits plunged 5.9% in Q1
\\n\\t* Unit Labor Costs surged by 6.7% - this does not represent wages
\\n\\t* All this data predicts future layoffs
\\n\\t* The Fed knows this, so they are reluctant to raise rates
\\n\\t* The Bloomberg Weekly Consumer Comfort Index fell to 42.5 the 8th consecutive decline - the first time in its 30 - year history
\\n\\t* The Dow continued to decline on the jobs report
\\n\\t* NASDAQ still hanging in
\\n\\t* Margin debt is at a record high
\\n\\t* The dollar was stronger on the week
\\n\\t* The euro finished positive
\\n\\t* By next year European inflation will force the Bundesbank to retreat from QE
\\n\\t* Gold was down on the week, as euro strength signals QE less likely in Europe
\\n\\t* Expectations of rising interest rates have been suppressing gold, but when reality rears its ugly head, the sellers will be gone and the buyers will be out in full force
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