Option Block 691: The Calm After the Storm

Published: Feb. 13, 2018, 6:54 p.m.

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Trading Block: One week later, how is everyone doing? SPY is back in rally mode. VIX back in the mid-20s. It\'s been a wild week for CBOE. Stock took a hit, threatened $100, now rallying up 4%. Earnings this week include APRN, before the bell tomorrow. ATM straddle $0.65, approx. 20%. Volatility\'s awakening spurs a record long position in VIX Futures

Odd Block: Review from 2/8: Someone unloading calls in (UNP), Pre earnings action in Under Armor (UAA).

Mail Block: Options question of the week

VIX is moving like crazy today. It\'s already blown past 23 and is threatening 35. So let\'s dial up our $VIX threshold for extra #ZombieApocalypse fun. You buying or selling these levels? Quite Simply: Where will $VIX close on Friday?

  • 21% - Crazy Town: 30-35
  • 22% - ZombieApocalypse: >35
  • 19% - Crazy: 25-30
  • 38% - Mildly Crazy: <25

Options question of the week, part two: It\'s been a rocky week for the markets. People are understandably scared and confused. That raises the question: Which product are you most concerned about over the next 30 days? Which product would you not touch with a 10-foot pole?

  • VIX
  • SVXY
  • SPY
  • Bitcoin: XBT, BTC, etc.

Listener questions and comments:

  • Follow-up from Matt Williamson - Disclosure time: I\'m in those FB $5.00 calls. But why??? I think Mike will see it first...No, you were actually close with your box theory. I just think Mike be the first to slap his forehead.
  • Question from JohnnyBananas1 - If you buy a put option and the strike price is $5 and the drops to $3. Is it still worth $ even if it\'s 3$ under...even though my strike price is 5$?? So if the stock price is $7 drop to 5(strike). But end up going to 3 and my option is worth ~$4?...so I don\'t have to sell if I reach my strike price? Is the same with call options? That\'s what confuses me is the strike$. #learning
  • Question from Chris T. - The most I can lose buying SVXY is the price I pay, correct? So can I buy it ~$10 and treat it like a lotto ticket call?

Around the Block: Earnings! Blue Apron, Under Armor. Can we get back into positive territory for the year in the S&P? Can get get three days of up? Or a couple of days of "not up so much"?

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