Diversification is All-But Gone

Published: May 28, 2020, 3:11 p.m.

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Correlations across equity asset classes are at their highest level in 20 years.  Why?  Diversification today is at the mercy of the tech mega caps.

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The large U.S. technology firms dominate the S&P 500, Nasdaq and the MSCI World.  If the tech names go up, all of these indices tend to go up; the non-tech names have far less influence than they did in the past.

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Are things going to change anytime soon?  Doubtful.  The tech mega caps are unlikely to go away, especially as we continue to migrate more and more to a digital economy.

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We have to get used to this paradigm shift.  Portfolio construction should be adjusted to reflect the likely diminished diversification benefits going forward.

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