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Alexandra asks: \\u201cI\\u2019m considering investing in the Toronto market that has an extremely low rental vacancy rate. Since the demand is so high and Toronto is a growing city, do you think this is a good idea?\\u201d
\\nAlexandra, this is a great question.
\\nIt is true that vacancy in Toronto is extremely low. The city continues to add about 125,000 population each year, and there are about 35,000 units of new construction added to the market each year. Clearly there is a gap between demand and supply for housing overall. If you break down the vacancy by type of property, you can see even more granularity. For example, Bachelor apartments have the highest vacancy at 1.6%. This data comes from the Canada Mortgage Housing Corporation. This is Canada\\u2019s quasi government back mortgage insurer.
\\nOne bedroom apartments have a 1.3% vacancy rate, two bedrooms have a 1.1% vacancy rate, and 3 bedrooms are 0.9% vacancy rate.
\\nRental rates increased an average of 4.9% from 2017 to 2018.
\\nThe shortage of housing in Toronto isn\\u2019t new. That\\u2019s been happening for years. So the real question is \\u201cWhy is the vacancy rate so low?\\u201d If the opportunity is so amazing, why do we not have more people flocking into the market to invest in rental properties? It doesn\\u2019t make sense that the vacancy rate remain so low for such a long time.
\\nIn my opinion, there are four factors that contribute to making rentals in the Toronto market a mediocre investment.
\\nToronto is a wonderful city. It\\u2019s clean, safe by World or American standards, multi-cultural, and there is an abundance of commercial and employment opportunities. But it\\u2019s increasingly one of the most traffic congested cities in North America. They haven\\u2019t been able to build enough road infrastructure to keep up with the population growth.
\\nSome investors have bought into the market, accepted the fact that there is very small cash flow, and in many cases negative cash flow. They\\u2019ve justified the investment by saying that they make it up in appreciation. For investors, it has worked out. But you don\\u2019t control what the market will do in the future. For that reason, it\\u2019s a risky strategy and one that I don\\u2019t recommend.
\\nI personally favour markets where the rent to purchase ratio is much better.
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