It\u2019s May 2, just over six months until the midterm elections, which are generally a referendum on the president\u2019s performance. President Joe Biden is in rough shape. Let\u2019s look at how it happened, and how he hopes to prevent a wipeout \u2026\nHow they got here: As early as April 2021, John Anzalone \u2014 Biden\u2019s top pollster \u2014 saw the writing on the wall. In a series of memos over the ensuing months, he tried to warn the president about the growing liabilities posed by immigration, inflation and crime, report NYT\u2019s Zolan Kanno-Youngs, Jonathan Martin and Alexander Burns.\nSubscribe to the POLITICO Playbook newsletter\nRaghu Manavalan is the Host of POLITICO's Playbook.Jenny Ament is the Executive Producer of POLITICO Audio.