Feb. 16, 2023: Why Nikki Haley could sneak through in 2024

Published: Feb. 16, 2023, 10:58 a.m.

Comets have staying power because they orbit the sun, while shooting stars burn up as they crash through the Earth\u2019s atmosphere.\nThe early take on Nikki Haley, who made her GOP presidential primary debut yesterday with a speech in Charleston, S.C., is that she\u2019s more likely to shine brightly for a moment and then fall to Earth.\n\u201c[H]ers will be a highly conventional campaign,\u201d wrote Rich Lowry after watching her announcement video, and \u201cthere will be a number of other candidates with as strong or a stronger case to represent generational change.\u201d\nIn a pretty brutal editorial this morning, the Wall Street Journal says there is \u201cno clear rationale for her candidacy.\u201d\nOver at the Times, they assembled 10 pundits to assess Haley\u2019s candidacy, and the majority opinion was that the two-term governor and former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations shouldn\u2019t be taken very seriously. \u201cNikki Haley Will Not Be the Next President,\u201d reads the headline.\nWe are old enough to remember when pundits in 2015 declared that Donald Trump would never be president, and we can recall nights in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada in late 2019 and early 2020 when the same was said about Joe Biden.\xa0\nHaley acknowledged the low expectations set by the nattering nabobs. \u201cI\u2019ve been underestimated before,\u201d she said. She entered politics in 2004 by defeating South Carolina\u2019s longest-serving House member. In 2010, she leapt from the statehouse to the governor\u2019s mansion after defeating a field of seasoned politicians in a GOP primary and overcoming her close association with disgraced Gov. Mark Sanford.\nSubscribe to the POLITICO Playbook newsletter\nRaghu Manavalan is the host and senior editor of POLITICO's Playbook Daily Briefing.Jenny Ament is the executive producer of POLITICO Audio.