If Senator Joe Manchin (D-W.Va) decides to run for reelection in 2024, he might be the most vulnerable Democratic senator in the country. West Virginia is a deep red state, and Manchin\u2019s approval rating has plummeted according to a recent Morning Consult poll. But he hasn\u2019t lost in West Virginia since the 1990s, and he\u2019s long-benefited from distancing himself from national Democratic leaders and attacking party-line policies, including the Inflation Reduction Act. POLITICO\u2019s Holly Otterbein breaks down the signals to Manchin\u2019s eventual re-election decision. Plus, a panel of federal judges expressed skepticism about an effort by major oil companies to move a climate change lawsuit brought by the District of Columbia into federal court.