EP 343- Rating Deflation Roundtable- Statistician Jeff Sonas and Data Scientist FM Nate Solon discuss FIDEs Proposed Changes to their Rating System, Plus Historical Chess Nuggets from Jeffs Great Site ChessMetrics

Published: Aug. 15, 2023, 8 a.m.

b"Jeff Sonas is a software engineer and database consultant who is also one of the world\\u2019s leading experts on chess ratings. As you may have read, FIDE recently proposed some changes to its rating system (partially due to Jeff\\u2019s advice). . In our conversation, Jeff explains the background of his work on ratings, and why he feels that changes to the system are necessary. Following a detailed and fascinating conversation about chess ratings, we discuss Jeff\\u2019s excellent historical chess site, Chessmetrics.com, which compares the relative strength of top chess players across eras. Due to his expertise on the topic, I also invited FM Nate Solon to co-host this episode. Nate writes about chess and data on his excellent blog, Zwischenzug.As always, you can find timestamps of topics discussed below.\\xa0\\n\\nSign up for my newsletter, The Perpetual Chess Linkfest here:\\xa0\\nhttps://benjohnson.substack.com\\nFIDE Press release about Proposed Rating Changes- https://fide.com/news/2538\\nJeff\\u2019s paper-\\xa0\\nhttps://www.fide.com/docs/presentations/Sonas%20Proposal%20-%20Repairing%20the%20FIDE%20Standard%20Elo%20Rating%20System.pdf\\n\\nNM Vanessa West's Summary of the Proposed Changes:\\nhttps://www.chess.com/news/view/fide-mathematician-proposes-changes-to-improve-rating-accuracy\\n\\nThanks to our presenting chess education sponsors, Chessable. Here are some courses to check out FM Nate Solon\\u2019s course here:\\n\\n100 Repertoires: Reti (1.Nf3)\\xa0\\nYou can check out some of my recommended courses here: https://go.chessable.com/perpetual-chess-podcast/\\n\\n04:00- We welcome Jeff Sonas to the show!\\xa0\\n04:30- He begins by discussing the history of his work in ratings, and specifically with FIDE. Jeff also discusses how he has gone from worrying about inflation to deflation?\\nMentioned: Rating Inflation: Its causes and Its possible cures\\xa0\\n\\n26:00- Patreon mailbag question- Could Jeff put a number on the amount of deflation? Is there deflation on the chess playing websites?\\xa0\\n\\n36:00- More explanation of the causes of deflation\\xa0\\nMentioned: GM Jacob Aagaard\\u2019s Tweet, Article by Tarjei Svensen about Velpula Sarayu\\u2019s Record Performance\\xa0\\n\\n42:00- Does the deflation matter, other than for reasons of vanity?\\xa0\\xa0\\n48:00- What does Jeff think of the Glicko system?\\xa0\\nEpisode 249 with Dr. Mark Glickman, Jeff\\u2019s Archive of Chess Writing\\xa0\\n53:00 Patreon mailbag question: How feasible is a universal rating system based on engine move matching?\\xa0\\nMentioned: Read Jeff\\u2019s paper here:\\nhttps://www.fide.com/docs/presentations/Sonas%20Proposal%20-%20Repairing%20the%20FIDE%20Standard%20Elo%20Rating%20System.pdf\\n59:00- Jeff discusses the history and methodology of his awesome chess history website, Chessmetrics\\nMentioned: Jeff\\u2019s Series: Who is the Greatest Player of All Time\\xa0\\n1:10:00- Where would Carlsen rank?\\n\\n1:14:00- What would be the biggest challenge to creating a chess site similar to a basketball reference or ultimate tennis statistics?\\xa0\\n1:16:00- Has Jeff ever gotten inquiries about his data from top players?\\nMentioned: Chess24 top 50 of all time Series with GM Jan Gustafsson and GM Peter Heine Nielsen\\xa0\\n1:18:00- Which historical player is underrated?\\xa0\\n1:25:00- What is Jeff\\u2019s own chess background?\\xa0\\n1:28:00-\\xa0\\nThanks so much to Jeff for joining the podcast! You can reach him via the Chessmetrics website:\\nhttp://www.chessmetrics.com/cm/CM2/Introduction.asp\\nAnd be sure to subscribe to FM Nate Solon\\u2019s free blog here:\\nhttps://zwischenzug.substack.com/\\nLearn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices"