Episode 188: Nate Silver
Nate Silver is the founder of FiveThirtyEight and the author of The Signal and the Noise.\n\n\u201cI know in a perfectly rational world, if you make an 80/20 prediction, people should know that not only will this prediction not be right all the time, but you did something wrong if it\u2019s never wrong. The 20% underdog should come through sometimes. People in sports understand that sometimes a 15 seed beats a 2 seed in the NCAA tournament. That\u2019s much harder to explain to people in politics.\u201d\n\nThanks to MailChimp, Bombas, Squarespace, and Trunk Club for sponsoring this week's episode.\n\nShow Notes:\n@NateSilver538\nfivethirtyeight.com\nSilver on Longform\n[2:00] FiveThirtyEight Podcasts\n[2:00] "Why The Dean Scream Sounded So Different On TV" (Jody Avirgan, Clare Malone \u2022 FiveThirtyEight)\n[10:00] The Burrito Bracket\n[12:00] Silver\u2019s Daily Kos Archive\n[19:00] The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail\u2014but Some Don\u2019t (Penguin Books \u2022 2012)\n[19:00] "FiveThirtyEight\u2019s 2012 Forecast" (New York Times \u2022 Nov 2012)\n[45:00] "Donald Trump Is the World\u2019s Greatest Troll" (FiveThirtyEight \u2022 Jul 2015)\nLearn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices