Ep35. Israel Strikes Back: Foolish Revenge or Calculated De-escalation?

Published: April 19, 2024, 2:25 p.m.

b'In the early morning hours of 19 April, American officials told major news outlets that an Israeli missile had struck central Iran near its nuclear sites.\\xa0No one was harmed. Officially, the Israelis are not claiming to have attacked; and Iran is not claiming to have been attacked. It is distinctly possible that this pinprick strike combined with denials on all sides will satisfy both parties and avert further retaliation. Conversely, it is also distinctly possible that it will lead to further cycles of revenge and escalation.\\n\\xa0\\nTo Order this Disorder, Jason is joined by our returning champion Arthur Snell and our great Scottish hopeful, Jane Kinninmont -- Policy & Impact Director at the European Leadership Network (an institution specializing in preventing nuclear war). The trio discuss: 1) why did Israel choose to retaliate, even though Biden counselled them to \\u2018Bank the Win\\u2019; 2) if this event even counts as retribution for the Iranian strikes of 14 April or could be classified as a non-strike as it is below the threshold of certain previous Israeli actions inside Iran; and 3) how Iran\\u2019s and Israel\\u2019s Sunni Arab neighbors are responding.\\n\\xa0\\nMulling over this unique historical moment, the trio use the Ordering the Disorder segment to propose opportunities for sage diplomacy to prevail and de-escalate tensions. Of course, the mere existence of these win-win, mutually beneficial, off-ramps from further conflict, does not mean that the Iranians or Israelis will seizes these opportunities.\\n\\xa0\\nTwitter: @DisorderShow\\n\\xa0\\nSubscribe to our Substack:\\xa0https://natoandtheged.substack.com/\\n\\xa0\\nWebsite:\\xa0https://natoandtheglobalenduringdisorder.com/\\n\\xa0\\nProducer: James Hodgson\\nExec Producer: Neil Fearn\\n\\xa0\\nShow Notes Links\\n\\xa0\\nFor a quick overview of April 19th\\u2019s events:\\xa0https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2024/04/israel-carries-out-strikes-isfahan-iran-reports?mc_cid=a8bfe16bdf&mc_eid=b844138f36\\n\\xa0\\n\\xa0\\nFor Iranian narratives of the confrontation with Israel:\\xa0https://www.europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/out-of-the-shadow-war-iranian-narratives-of-the-confrontation-with-israel/\\n\\xa0\\nFor Arthur Snell\\u2019s Substack, \\u2018Not All Doom\\u2019:\\xa0https://arthursnell.substack.com/\\n\\xa0\\nAnd for his podcast \\u2018Behind the Lines\\u2019:\\xa0https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/behind-the-lines-with-arthur-snell/id1704344656\\n\\xa0\\nJoin ELN\\u2019s roundup of the Persian language news:\\xa0https://europeanleadershipnetwork.us5.list-manage.com/subscribe?u=f9c4fc8e446f80bb4d50ed06f&id=ca7882ea45\\nLearn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices'