How Much Does a New Medicine Really Cost?

Published: Aug. 15, 2011, 9:18 a.m.

b'The estimate for the cost of bringing a single new medicine successfully to market is generally accepted to be around $1b, based on study data published in 2003 and subsequently adjusted for inflation. However, a paper was published last month that reworks some of this same data, and suggests that the true cost might be much lower: close to $55m! This paper has been picked up by some media outlets and provoked something of a furore\\u2026 and opened an interesting discussion about how such figures are calculated. Andrew Smith reports, and wonders whether the analysis should be updated from scratch.'