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\n\t* Today we got the Non-Farm Payroll report for the month of June
\n\t* Remember the last 2 reports were quite weak and everybody was hoping for a rebound in June to prove that April and May were a fluke and not a new trend
\n\t* In fact the Fed talked about that in their last FOMC meeting minutes
\n\t* The consensus was for 180,000 jobs to be created and the range went from a low of 130,000 to as high as 235,000
\n\t* The consensus average of that range was 180,000
\n\t* The actual number came in at 287,000, over 100,000 jobs above the consensus
\n\t* Now we did revise down the really bad number from May, and made it even worse
\n\t* Initially that number was 38,000 jobs and now we know it was just 11,000 jobs
\n\t* So about 70% of the jobs disappeared
\n\t* I have a good feeling that the reason June's number is so high is that it's just wrong, and we'll see what kind of revision we get to it next month
\n\t* Remember, a good chunk of these numbers are jobs that the government assumes were created without evidence, based on the birth-death model
\n\t* I would suggest that far fewer businesses are actually being formed than the government believes
\n\t* In fact, its possible that more business are shutting down than are hiring
\n\t* Given the economy and the minimum wage, those business that are starting up are hiring fewer people than start-up historically hire
\n\t* I think these guesstimates are wildly optimistic and skewing all the numbers
\n\t* Unemployment rate, which was 4.7 last month and expected to notch up to 4.8, instead notched up higher to 4.9
\n\t* Private payrolls which were expected to rise by $170,000 jumped by $265,000
\n\t* But last month they revised a $25,000 gain to a $6,000 loss
\n\t* Why did unemployment move up? Because the labor force participation rate notched up from 62.6 to 62.7
\n\t* Obviously not all the people who re-joined the labor force could find jobs
\n\t* Average hourly earnings were expected to rise by .2%
\n\t* Again they disappointed; they rose by just .1%
\n\t* Overall, a mixed picture, but the headline number, the 287,000 vs 180,000 consensus
\n\t* That's normally the number the market trades off
\n\t* And that is exactly what happened - as soon as the report came out we had a big jump in the dollar index and we had a big selloff in Gold
\n\t* Gold started out largely unchanged, went down about $22 on the news
\n\t* Silver sold off, it was down about 40-50 cents
\n\t* That was the knee-jerk reaction: strong dollar, weak gold, weak silver
\n\t* Why?
\n\t* A strong jobs number means the Fed is more likely to raise rates, right?
\n\t* Rate hike is coming, good for the dollar, bad for gold
\n\t* But what did I say on Wednesday's podcast?
\n\t* I said that it didn't matter what the jobs number was
\n\t* That gold was not going to go down, and if it was a weak number, I expected a big rally in gold
\n\t* But I also said that a strong number would not hurt gold
\n\t* Earlier in the year, a strong number would crush gold
\n\t* I said that what's going on, and based on the latest FOMC minutes, I don't care what the jobs number is
\n\t* The Fed is not going to raise rates
\n\t* Jobs have nothing to do with it, Jobs are the excuse
\n\t* The Fed can't raise rates now because of the fragility in the banking system, all the things that were revealed by Brexit
\n\t* The market is sensing that and that's why within the first hour gold reversed all of its losses and finished the day up about $5.60 at $1365.40
\n\t* The highest close of the year on a day when we had a huge beat in the Non-Farm Payrolls
\n\t* Silver had an even more impressive reversal; it rallied over $1
\n\t* Stocks really broke out; the GDX was up over 30% today to close at $30.54
\n\t* Not quite the highest close of the year
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