Fed Worried Cost of Living Not Rising Fast Enough Ep. 112

Published: Oct. 9, 2015, 12:15 a.m.


\n\t* The Dow Jones finished up almost 140 points - back over 17000
\n\t* The Dow has now rallied 1,000 points since its lows on Friday following the lower than expected Non-Farm Payroll number
\n\t* The market originally sold off until traders realized that bad news is good news and they bought the dip
\n\t* The buying intensified today following the release of the FOMC minutes from the last meeting
\n\t* I predicted the markets would experience a rally based on the weak Non-Farm Payrol number
\n\t* The U.S. market looks like it's standing still compared to the markets overseas
\n\t* Now that so many traders are starting to connect the dots and realize that a rate hike is not around the corner we've seen a huge rally in overseas stocks, particularly in emerging markets
\n\t* All currencies continue to gain against the dollar
\n\t* Silver prices earlier in the week hit a 3-1/2 month high
\n\t* Gold got back above 1150
\n\t* Oil prices are close to $50/barrel
\n\t* All of this is happening because traders are beginning to pare back their rate hike bets
\n\t* In light of today's release of the dovish September FOMC meeting minutes the trend will intensify
\n\t* Why were people surprised by the dovish minutes?
\n\t* If you read the minutes, the real reason the Fed did not raise rates is because inflation is too low
\n\t* They also said they would risk credibility raising rates below 2%
\n\t* Lose credibility with whom?
\n\t* If they are afraid to raise rates with inflation below 2%, they why have they been bluffing that they are about to raise rates?
\n\t* The official inflation number has been below 2% the entire time they have been talking about a rate hike
\n\t* I have been saying that they will continue to pretend to raise rates, but they won't
\n\t* I thought it was funny that Netflix raised their rates 11% - the Fed must have thought this was good news
\n\t* The real reason the Fed won't rais rates is that they don't want to prick the bubbles
\n\t* We have a bubble in the stock market
\n\t* A bubble in the real estate market
\n\t* A bubble in the bond market
\n\t* Auto loans, student loans, consumer credit, art - you name it
\n\t* The Fed doesn't want the government to deal with higher interest rates
\n\t* Look at the headline in the Wall Street Journal about foreign central banks beginning to dump treasuries
\n\t* Look at how many treasuries China has sold
\n\t* This is the tip of a huge iceberg
\n\t* How is the Fed going to end QE when it has to take the other side of the mother of all trades?
\n\t* CNBC cited overseas problems washing up on our shore as the reason why the Fed won't be raising rates - these are not overseas problems
\n\t* The problems started here - they're just coming back
\n\t* The overseas markets were reacting to higher interest rates and a strong dollar
\n\t* This game is going to end - the next time the dollar goes down, it's down for the count
\n\t* Rather than having foreign central banks coming to its rescue, they are going to be joining in the dollar selloff just like everybody else
\n\t* I wanted to comment on an Robert Wenzel's article in the Economic Policy Journal
\n\t* Wenzel appears to be referring to me but does not mention my name
\n\t* Here's the title of his piece, dated September 18, following the most recent Fed meeting:
\n\t* "The Absurd Idea That The Fed is Not Going to Raise Rates"
\n\t* Wenzel refers to "certain so-called Austrians out cheering that they were proven correct in their view that the Fed will not raise rates..."
\n\t* Many people commented that he must be referring to Peter Schiff, but he denied this
\n\t* Wenzel seems to believe I do not think the Fed should raise rates
\n\t* I am not saying what I think the Fed should do, I'm saying what I think they will do
\n\n\nOur Sponsors:\n* Check out Ethos: ethoslife.com/GOLD \n\nPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy