The Asset Allocator: Don’t Fear The Yield Curve

Published: July 8, 2019, 10:50 a.m.

The headline of an article appearing on Slate last week screamed: “The Single Most Reliable Recession Indicator of the Past 50 Years Has Officially Started Blaring.” But should we be worried about the inverted yield curve based on a small sample size of historical events? This podcast (5:38) argues that, paradoxically, today’s low yields may signal we needn’t worry about a near-term market crisis. Rather, dramatically rising yields would signal that investors are demanding compensation for a heightened level of perceived risk. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices